Tesla's 200x earnings multiple asks too much of weak current results and speculative future products. Third-quarter revenue fell 0.4% year over year and EBIT missed estimates by 25%, despite gross-margin and cash-flow beats. Robotaxis, humanoids and other future plans may have appeal, but impressive parts of the business do not make the stock worth its current price. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Repeated promises without timely delivery make Tesla and SpaceX unattractive to own. Roadster is years late, Tesla Semi mass production has been repeatedly delayed, Optimus and Cybercab deployment trails promises, and Mars colonization deadlines have slipped. Tesla's auto margins and profits are under pressure. Execution matters more than hype. x.com 

Tesla could reach $800 if it executes on humanoid robots at scale, since it is now an AI software, hardware and robotics company rather than an EV maker. The stock has consolidated in a large ascending triangle since 2021, as the market waits to see whether Tesla can scale humanoids the way its 2020-21 run priced in its EV dominance. If anyone can do it, Elon Musk can. x.com 

Tesla's Cybercab and Optimus may end like Elon Musk's past grand projects, the Solar Roof, Roadster, Semi and Boring tunnels, so their true rollout should come before any belief. Musk may need the stock hammered by 90% to wake up. x.com 

Tesla's valuation is too stretched to justify buying now. Slava cites a 189x forward P/E, falling Q3 deliveries, a 1.4% operating margin and negative free cash flow; other investments look preferable. x.com 

Tesla's Cybercab can scale far faster than Waymo, which underpins its long-term potential. The Cybercab is efficient and cheap to build, and Tesla can scale it into the millions quickly with US-sourced parts, while Waymo is inefficient, expensive and very hard to scale. Riders are proud to be seen in a Cybercab rather than hiding behind tinted glass. As @michbetancourt1 notes, Tesla is also building an energy backlog that could reach revenue from 2027; quick-profit seekers miss this potential. … Show more

Tesla's move to open-source Model S and Model X software points to a race to zero in a crowded EV market where it needs higher margins instead. Tesla is also a small producer compared with China, Japan and Korea. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Tesla's stock already prices in much of its long-term AI and autonomous driving potential, while its core auto business still faces declining deliveries and margin pressure. Most analysts rate it a Moderate Buy, but that tension limits the upside. x.com 

Tesla's engineering culture is still its biggest moat, and the low-volume Roadster could give it a huge marketing halo. The presentation also points to a powerful Tesla-SpaceX connection; robotics, AI and Full Self-Driving could make Tesla's future bigger than most investors realize. The car may arrive in 2028, but the narrative arrived last night. x.com  x.com 

Tesla's low forward growth and negative free cash flow weaken its long-term appeal. Next-twelve-month revenue growth is 8.9%, while increasing competition threatens its moat. Tesla is noise for now with Elon focused more on SpaceX; its ADR reading of 2.48 is below the 4-plus needed to turn a day trade into a swing, though earnings may change that. x.com  x.com