Ondas Holdings is set to benefit from a booming defense industry, and its chart looks great. x.com
The Wheelie Investor
Options Trader, Agentic Trading, Builder of AgenticTG
Ondas could have serious upside over the next few years if it delivers anywhere close to the 30%-40% portfolio growth its CEO Eric Brock expects. At current levels, the stock is starting to look compelling. x.com
Ondas is scaling fast in autonomous drones and counter-drone systems. Q2 revenue hit a record $83.8 million, more than 13x a year earlier, and 2026 guidance is $525–550 million. Pro forma backlog is $757 million, it has captured over $240 million under the Army's $982 million loitering-munitions IDIQ, and in September it bought five more defense tech businesses. x.com
Ondas's growth without margin discipline is a warning because it is so far from profitable: its EBITDA loss widened from $10.9M to $50.6M in one quarter. Revenue, orders and defense contracts are real, and guidance rose by $160M, yet the stock fell 8%. x.com
Ondas' long-term opportunity extends beyond drones into growing counter-drone and unmanned ground vehicle markets. Broad industry estimates for these markets rise from $90.6B in 2025 to $210B by 2033, with counter-drone systems the fastest-growing segment at 26.8% annually. That total is neither Ondas revenue nor its own addressable market and may include overlap. Bullish on the company's future, but execution must earn conviction. x.com x.com
Ondas is on track to reach $2 billion in revenue in 2027, which on its own makes the bull case. x.com
Ondas is still a bit early to buy because its story now depends on execution rather than demand, while acquisitions weigh on the shares. Full-year revenue guidance of $525M-$550M implies $390M-$415M in the second half, and the pipeline grew from about $4B to over $11B on European and Asia-Pacific defense deals, but a pipeline only matters once it becomes contracts and deliveries. Q2 carried integration costs and stock compensation; management should pause deals to integrate what it has bought. … Show more
Ondas Holdings does not look too expensive for a company tied to the defense and drone supercycle with revenue growing nearly 1,000%. It has a $457 million backlog nearing $600 million after its $125 million Cyberhawk acquisition and recently raised its 2026 revenue target to $390 million, yet trades at about 8x EV to forward sales. Cyberhawk adds an inspection platform with 95% recurring revenue and a large real-world asset dataset. Risk-reward looks good as long as the market does not crash. … Show more
Ondas is a $12 stock trading at $7, and this dip is a generational opportunity to buy it at a discount. It posted a record $83.8M quarter, with trailing revenue up nearly 10x. x.com
Ondas stock won't rally until it can grow without buying more companies. Its GATE Technologies and Bron Technologies deal, $205 million plus up to $185 million in performance-based consideration, seems too good to be true: GATE is expected to grow revenue from $65 million in 2026 to $180 million in 2028 with strong margins and contribute over $130 million of adjusted EBITDA through 2028. x.com
A US military-budget increase would be well-timed for defense stocks as most appear to be bottoming or sitting on support. If history repeats, one will probably be announced soon. Since the earlier sell signals, Amprius is down about 42%, AeroVironment about 60% and Ondas about 54%; many other names also look oversold. x.com