Crossroads
Retail Investor, YouTube Investing Creator
Contracted AI compute demand makes four AI infrastructure stocks worth buying at 52-week lows. Applied Digital has a $36B backlog and expects 600+ MW online within 12 months; Cipher Mining has $8.5B+ in AI leases with payments ramping; CleanSpark has a 20-year $6.6B lease and 1.8+ GW power portfolio; CoreWeave has a $104B backlog and raised its year-end ARR target to $18.5-19.5B. x.com x.comÂ
Applied Digital's locked-in power is an irreplaceable asset amid an AI-driven power shortage. A Montana-Dakota Utilities deal secures grid capacity for its planned 430 MW campus, and a 15-year take-or-pay hyperscaler lease should bring about $5.2B of base revenue. Polaris Forge 1, leased to CoreWeave, delivered its first 100 MW building. Spinning APLD Cloud into ChronoScale with Ekso Bionics would make it a pure-play AI infrastructure landlord eligible for a growth premium. x.comÂ
Applied Digital's AI and high-performance computing data centers could expand substantially as demand grows. It is a high-risk upside bet: construction costs, financing needs and dependence on large customers could impede that expansion. x.comÂ
Applied Digital keeps signing hyperscale compute deals almost every month. Its latest is a 15-year lease worth $5.2B, and up to $12.7B, with the same investment-grade hyperscaler for 210 MW of IT load. CEO Wes Cummins said that two years ago the company deliberately chose to build a business that scales, not just to build data centers. x.comÂ
Applied Digital's new hyperscaler lease is a catalyst worth buying on shakeouts. @epictrades1 notes the same US hyperscaler that signed at Delta Forge 1 has agreed to a long-term lease for its fourth AI Factory campus, Polaris Forge 3, designed for 300 MW of IT load backed by about 430 MW of grid power. x.comÂ
Applied Digital still looks cheap on its buildout, though it needs momentum and cooperative bond markets. Its CY26 deliveries may miss expectations by ~50MW, with a catch-up in early 2027; it plans 600MW in service over 12 months. Two expansion leases totaling 250MW are expected by year end at >15% higher pricing, later than first signaled. Macquarie is owed shares and ~25% of NOI on partnered North American deals; Finland's first 100MW is expected in 2028. x.comÂ
Applied Digital's contracted backlog is more than twice its market value, so the market is giving the backlog away for free. It has $16 billion of signed 15-year leases with CoreWeave and an investment-grade US hyperscaler against a $7.5 billion market value. Revenue rose 250% to $126.6 million in fiscal Q2, its first 100 MW Polaris Forge 1 building was delivered on time and budget, and Polaris Forge 2 has a 200 MW lease signed. Yet the stock fell from $41 to $27 while nothing broke. x.comÂ
Anthropic's customer growth gives AI compute suppliers firmer demand evidence than capacity plans. Its S-1 reports $16.3B in H1 2026 revenue and about 900% net retention as of September 30, the strongest evidence yet of adoption. Over $500B in commitments include a roughly $125B five-year Broadcom equipment lease plus Amazon, Google and Microsoft arrangements; Nvidia GPUs are in its mix. Long-term obligations could outlast usage revenue. x.comÂ
Applied Digital's data-center buildout is paying off, with $73B of potential contracted revenue now signed with investment-grade hyperscalers. Earlier, with ground broken on Polaris Forge 2 and another deal in the works, the company already had a clear path to $1B+ in annual recurring revenue. x.comÂ
Applied Digital's contracted AI data-center backlog should bring a dramatic shift in cash inflows as campuses come online through 2027 and beyond. Fiscal Q4 2026 revenue rose 407% to $258.7 million. Leases of 210 MW at Delta Forge 2 and 300 MW at Delta Forge 1 bring contracted load to 1.4 GW, about $36 billion of 15-year take-or-pay revenue, funded by over $3.7 billion of senior secured notes. After a trendline breakout, a retest should precede a major move toward the mid-30s. x.comÂ