CMS Invests
Technology Investor, Options Trader, Finance at Kalshi
SoFi's cross-selling is turning growth into faster profits, making its valuation more compelling than Robinhood's despite higher margins there. Q3 revenue rose 44% and adjusted EBITDA 70%; fee-based revenue reached 42% of sales. Management guides to $6.4B revenue and $2.24B adjusted EBITDA in 2027 without needing new capital for that plan, though future dilution is possible. Robinhood's 12.4x analyst-estimated 2027 sales is nearly four times SoFi's 3.3x on management guidance. SoFi must deliver. … Show more
SoFi's newly reported growth widens the gap between its operating results and a selloff driven by interest-rate fears. Revenue grew 45%, EPS 67% and members 35%, while the stock had fallen nearly 50%; the business is seen as able to succeed across rate environments. x.comÂ
Robinhood's higher revenue and EPS make it clearly stronger than SoFi on these earnings. SoFi's post-earnings rally is unlikely to hold; its shares are headed for single digits. x.com x.comÂ
SoFi's stronger revenue and earnings growth makes it worth staying with for at least another quarter. Per amitisinvesting, Q3 revenue rose 44% and adjusted EPS 64%, with 2027 revenue and EPS guidance above estimates. It still needs to show it can sustain the trajectory. x.com x.com x.comÂ
SoFi's raised profitability guidance will help its stock move past $20; a very big move will need interest rates to fall substantially. Management lifted 2026 adjusted EPS guidance 50%, from $0.60 to $0.90, and revenue guidance to $5.04B after Q3 revenue rose over 44% and adjusted EPS grew nearly 64% year over year. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood offered a much better risk profile than SoFi, with many chances this year to buy it in the $70s and even $60s. SoFi may ultimately work, but its path to execution is less clear, and a piece by nanalyzetweets lays out harsh truths about it that much of X doesn't want to admit. x.comÂ
SoFi's earnings growth and accelerating margin expansion make its valuation appealing. Quarterly GAAP EPS of $0.18 puts its annualized P/E at 22 alongside 64% year-on-year earnings growth. SoFi raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance from $0.40 to $0.61, roughly 50%, and projects adjusted revenue growth of 40% in 2026 and 27% in 2027, with adjusted EPS of $0.90 in 2027. x.com x.com x.comÂ
SoFi's accelerating products per member bodes well for its long-term growth. The attached series rises from about 1.45 in March 2024 to 1.56 in September 2026, with a sharper climb in 2026. x.comÂ
SoFi's egregious dilution means business growth may fail to benefit existing shareholders. Its share count rose 61% over five years, reducing an original 1% stake to about 0.6%; even 61% earnings growth could leave earnings per share flat. As a bank, SoFi is already practically uninvestable by these standards, though dilution need not destroy value if the capital raised creates more value than the ownership surrendered. x.comÂ
SoFi's revenue growth, earnings beat and raised guidance suggest its inflection is starting. Revenue grew 44%, and its initial 2027 outlook topped consensus. x.comÂ