Oracle looks mispriced because $11 of current consolidated earnings power puts it at 11x earnings without a breakup. It trades below its software business's value despite the highest gross retention in software; separating pre-AI OCI, AI operations and AI development makes it an obvious long. Future funding will cost more, but current leverage is no issue and all contracts are well below spot, leaving nowhere near neocloud risk. Fundamentals may not matter during panics. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Oracle's forecast of a FY29 capex step-down and a limit on additional capital raises supports a return to all-time highs soon. Oracle says it will limit those raises to $20 billion through FY30 and reaffirmed its FY27 outlook of over $90 billion in revenue and $8.10 non-GAAP EPS. The stock remains very overcrowded. x.com  x.com 

Oracle looks set to burn many more billions in cash at least into the first half of fiscal 2028. That is the less reassuring implication of Reuters' headline that Oracle expects cash flow to turn positive in the second half of that fiscal year, even though the market liked the news. x.com 

Oracle could work as a trade above its recent swing low, backed by its heavy ties to OpenAI, a new deal with Tencent and insider buying. The chart shows a potential failed breakdown of a key zone; below the swing low, the idea should be revisited. x.com 

Oracle's 65% pullback, its second-largest after the dot-com drop of 84%, makes $100–120 a great long-term add. It is approaching its rising 100-month EMA, reached only in 2009, 2020 and nearly 2022, while backtesting a 26-year trendline breakout and the top of the monthly Ichimoku cloud, with the 1.414 Fibonacci level at $99. Led by Larry Ellison, one of the world's most successful tech entrepreneurs, it is not going bankrupt. x.com 

Oracle's balance sheet and customer risks outweigh its slide to near a 52-week low. Heavy debt, more dilution, round-tripping, data-center delays and heavy OpenAI concentration all weigh on the stock. x.com 

Oracle's AI buildout looks fundable as spending peaks and cash flow turns positive. Spending is forecast to peak in FY27-28, with free cash flow positive in 2H FY28 and above $30bn in FY29, a roughly $54bn swing. New capital raising is capped at $20bn through 2030, half equity and half debt. Revenue is projected to grow from $90bn next year to $225bn+ by FY30. Bullish Oracle. x.com 

Oracle's projected free-cash-flow turnaround challenges the market's fear that data-center spending will bring insolvency or years of cash burn for little return. Oracle expects positive FCF in the second half of FY28, at least $30B in FY29 and self-funded growth by FY29 as capex declines. Already undervalued, Oracle is seeing a lift; the clearer profitability path could lift other data-center operators too. x.com 

Oracle is heading for a crash toward a $70 target as it rejects its monthly 50-period moving average from below. The biggest crashes come when a stock breaks its weekly 200-period and monthly 50-period averages, retests them from below and fails. Credit backs this up: Oracle leaned on cheap debt until its CDS hit levels unseen since 2009 and it was cut to one notch above junk, then announced about $20 billion of equity issuance anyway with shares 50% off their highs. x.com  x.com 

Oracle's $664B contracted backlog justifies holding the stock, but position size should reflect funding risk. Capex was 161% of operating cash flow over the last four quarters, and debt plus leases total about $457B; only about 13% of RPO is expected to become revenue in the next year. Delivery timing, grid approvals and possible further equity issuance matter more than a shortage of demand. x.com