Dray
Finance Student, Stock Investor, Technology & Business
SoFi's growth and insider buying argue for a break above the $16-20 range it has been stuck in all year. Revenue is growing 42% a year, membership has reached 15.8 million, and the CEO keeps telling investors to buy while purchasing millions of dollars of stock himself. It remains one of the market's most hated stocks this year. x.comÂ
SoFi's newly reported growth widens the gap between its operating results and a selloff driven by interest-rate fears. Revenue grew 45%, EPS 67% and members 35%, while the stock had fallen nearly 50%; the business is seen as able to succeed across rate environments. x.comÂ
SoFi's member and revenue growth now comes with rising profitability, strengthening its growth case. Q3 revenue grew 44% year over year to $1.39 billion, members rose 35% to 17.1 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew nearly 70%. Revenue and EPS beat estimates, and full-year adjusted net revenue guidance rose to about $5.04 billion. x.comÂ
SoFi's egregious dilution means business growth may fail to benefit existing shareholders. Its share count rose 61% over five years, reducing an original 1% stake to about 0.6%; even 61% earnings growth could leave earnings per share flat. As a bank, SoFi is already practically uninvestable by these standards, though dilution need not destroy value if the capital raised creates more value than the ownership surrendered. x.comÂ
SoFi's Q3 growth and raised outlook deepen the gap between its business and pressured shares. Adjusted revenue rose 44% to $1.4B, EBITDA 70% to $470M and members 35% to 17.1M; 2026 guidance rose to $5.04B, with a new 2027 outlook of $6.4B and $0.90 EPS. By far one of the strongest reports amid poor sentiment, this makes SoFi one of the best long-term opportunities. SoFi says eight businesses each generate over $100M annualized and targets 100M products by 2030. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
SoFi's accelerating products per member bodes well for its long-term growth. The attached series rises from about 1.45 in March 2024 to 1.56 in September 2026, with a sharper climb in 2026. x.comÂ
Robinhood's higher revenue and EPS make it clearly stronger than SoFi on these earnings. SoFi's post-earnings rally is unlikely to hold; its shares are headed for single digits. x.com x.comÂ
SoFi's stronger revenue and earnings growth makes it worth staying with for at least another quarter. Per amitisinvesting, Q3 revenue rose 44% and adjusted EPS 64%, with 2027 revenue and EPS guidance above estimates. It still needs to show it can sustain the trajectory. x.com x.com x.comÂ
SoFi's record Q3 member gains expand its cross-selling opportunity as deposits cut funding costs and fees diversify income. It added 1.2 million members; existing members opened 51% of new products. Adjusted revenue rose 44% and EBITDA rose 70%; deposits reached $51.3 billion, with estimated annualized funding savings of $745 million. Management's initial 2027 outlook calls for $0.90 in adjusted EPS, or 48% growth over updated 2026 guidance, but it still needs to be delivered. x.comÂ
SoFi's revenue growth does not justify overlooking its earnings record and valuation relative to American Express. SoFi trades at 34x earnings despite GAAP EPS of $0.47 TTM, versus American Express at 19x with $16.48 TTM EPS and a long record of EPS growth. SoFi faces competition while American Express has a moat. x.com x.com x.comÂ
SoFi's cross-selling is turning growth into faster profits, making its valuation more compelling than Robinhood's despite higher margins there. Q3 revenue rose 44% and adjusted EBITDA 70%; fee-based revenue reached 42% of sales. Management guides to $6.4B revenue and $2.24B adjusted EBITDA in 2027 without needing new capital for that plan, though future dilution is possible. Robinhood's 12.4x analyst-estimated 2027 sales is nearly four times SoFi's 3.3x on management guidance. SoFi must deliver. … Show more