Circle looks set to turn back into an uptrend from a massive weekly base, with insider selling pressure likely exhausted. Nearly two years after the IPO, insiders and VCs who wanted to sell are probably gone, and the crypto theme is hot. x.com 

Circle looks coiled for expansion toward $170+ above $130 after eight months of sideways consolidation, backed by strong fundamentals. It has beaten EPS estimates four quarters in a row, with Q1 2026 revenue up 20% and EPS 40% above estimates. USDC circulation is $77 billion, up 28%, and it processed $21.5 trillion of onchain volume in Q1, up 263%. With a conditionally approved national trust bank charter and the GENIUS Act now law, it is the most compliant, regulation-ready stablecoin issuer. … Show more

Circle's earnings were the first fintech report this season that disappointed, making the stock one to sell to a greater fool while the market stays bubbly. x.com 

Circle is set up for a bounce toward $150 into the June 18 options expiry, because a $17.4 million wall of positive dealer exposure at the $150 strike should pull the price toward it. Spot near $113 first has to clear a small pocket of negative exposure at $114-115; once the $120 strike, with over $1 million of positive exposure, flips into support, dealer hedging should accelerate the move. x.com 

Circle can run on stablecoin news, and it is not on anyone's list. x.com 

Circle faces a senior management transition without a clear replacement after its CFO resigned abruptly, a risk not worth ignoring. Capital is better kept in the highest-conviction areas, semiconductors and AI infrastructure, though the medium-term view on bitcoin stays bullish and this call could prove wrong. x.com 

Regulatory clarity is exactly what Circle needs to take off. x.com 

Circle could be one of the cleanest 2-3x opportunities over the next 12-18 months as one of the few ways to own stablecoin infrastructure. The view that CLARITY failing is automatically bad for Circle is too one-dimensional. USDC circulation hit $73.3B in Q2, up 19%, on-chain volume rose 151%, and revenue and reserve income reached about $701M. The chart shows a higher low and consolidation but needs a clean break of descending resistance. Rates and competition from Tether and banks are risks. … Show more

Circle's valuation is far too high to consider right now, given risks from crypto sentiment and margin pressure. That holds despite strong momentum: Q4 revenue rose 77% to $770M with a solid EPS beat, it has launched institutional payment platforms and expanded African partnerships, and potential US stablecoin legislation is a tailwind. x.com 

Circle's real bull case is a 36-month story running through 2029, making it one of the highest-IRR opportunities in the market. The recent rally on the crypto breakout is secondary to that longer opportunity. x.com