Circle looks set to turn back into an uptrend from a massive weekly base, with insider selling pressure likely exhausted. Nearly two years after the IPO, insiders and VCs who wanted to sell are probably gone, and the crypto theme is hot. x.comÂ
Ted Zhang
Portfolio Manager of Turbotection at Revere Asset Management
Circle Internet Group looks set up to move after completing its first-year IPO base and recovering its 200-day moving average. It is near an accumulation zone, and key fundamentals are positive and growing. x.comÂ
Circle is building a network-effect moat by tying the biggest exchanges and payment players to USDC, to compete as the default settlement asset in trading and payments. Its deeper Binance deal is now its only exchange tie combining equity, incentive fees and wallet integration, second only to Coinbase. Coinbase, Binance and Hyperliquid hold where money sits; Intuit, JCB, Nium and Tazapay move it; CPN and Arc aim to settle it. Dominance isn't secured yet, and rivals are expanding too. x.com x.comÂ
Circle faces a senior management transition without a clear replacement after its CFO resigned abruptly, a risk not worth ignoring. Capital is better kept in the highest-conviction areas, semiconductors and AI infrastructure, though the medium-term view on bitcoin stays bullish and this call could prove wrong. x.comÂ
Circle looks coiled for expansion toward $170+ above $130 after eight months of sideways consolidation, backed by strong fundamentals. It has beaten EPS estimates four quarters in a row, with Q1 2026 revenue up 20% and EPS 40% above estimates. USDC circulation is $77 billion, up 28%, and it processed $21.5 trillion of onchain volume in Q1, up 263%. With a conditionally approved national trust bank charter and the GENIUS Act now law, it is the most compliant, regulation-ready stablecoin issuer. … Show more
Circle's real bull case is a 36-month story running through 2029, making it one of the highest-IRR opportunities in the market. The recent rally on the crypto breakout is secondary to that longer opportunity. x.comÂ
Circle's earnings were the first fintech report this season that disappointed, making the stock one to sell to a greater fool while the market stays bubbly. x.comÂ
Coinbase and Circle look set to move higher: Cathie Wood bought $8 million of Coinbase and $1.4 million of Circle shares while both stocks showed confirmed bullish divergence. x.comÂ
Circle is the crypto infrastructure play with real adoption, as the company behind the USDC stablecoin. x.comÂ
Circle's valuation is far too high to consider right now, given risks from crypto sentiment and margin pressure. That holds despite strong momentum: Q4 revenue rose 77% to $770M with a solid EPS beat, it has launched institutional payment platforms and expanded African partnerships, and potential US stablecoin legislation is a tailwind. x.comÂ
Regulatory clarity is exactly what Circle needs to take off. x.comÂ