From Growth To Value
Founder of Potential Multibaggers/Best Anchor Stocks
Intel's production was reportedly affected by a pause at its Israel fabs, which should benefit competitors Arm and AMD. Both look good on that basis. x.comÂ
Intel's valuation is at all-time highs while its business condition is near all-time lows. It is more a CPU company than a foundry, and TSMC holds huge scale, capex and process advantages while building substantial US capacity, so the recent rally makes no sense. x.com x.comÂ
SK hynix weighing Intel Foundry for HBM4E base dies would be the validation Intel Foundry has been waiting for: a customer judging it on cost and capability for the most in-demand product in semiconductors, not a subsidy or national-security case. Per @jukan05, SK hynix wants to diversify beyond TSMC, whose base die reportedly costs 3-4x the core memory die, a cost it cannot pass through under long-term HBM deals. Its packaging VP is also evaluating Intel's EMIB against TSMC's CoWoS. x.comÂ
Intel looks priced for too much good news before it has actually delivered on anything. Its CPU story was carrying the share price. x.comÂ
Intel's high valuation is hard to justify while its foundry turnaround remains unproven. At about 59x forward earnings, nearly three times TSMC's 19x, Intel has slower projected revenue growth; its foundry lost $2.09 billion in Q2 2026, while TSMC's Q3 operating margin was 58.7%. A politician's stock purchase alone does not make Intel a buy. x.com x.comÂ
Intel's $20B raise and Nvidia's roughly $30B stake position it as a strategic semiconductor and AI-infrastructure platform despite near-term dilution. Intel raised the capital at $95 a share, and the US government holds a 10% stake via a CHIPS Act conversion. SK Hynix is considering Intel Foundry for HBM4E base dies, validating its advanced manufacturing ambitions. Fundamentals remain challenged, with an $11B+ net loss and negative margins, though $57.2B of current assets support execution. … Show more
Samsung's HBM4 ramp makes SK hynix's ability to defend its HBM lead the key question in the memory race. Chosun Biz reports SK hynix's HBM4 shipments may have missed expectations for a second straight quarter amid Nvidia Rubin delays and chip tuning. Counterpoint puts Samsung's Q2 HBM share at 33%, up from 21%; TrendForce expects strong SK hynix Q3 profits. Samsung is the preferred memory stock right now, though there may be no single clear winner. SK hynix's October 28 report is the next check. … Show more
Higher HBM stack requirements favor Samsung Electronics shares, even as the broader semiconductor industry suffers and DRAM is in dire straits. Daishin Securities says plans for 4-high and 6-high HBM in low-end inference appear shelved, while Nvidia's 8-high Rubin option appears dropped amid base-die supply constraints and customers' preference for bandwidth. x.comÂ
Intel's 18A-P looks like the only option for SK Hynix's and Micron's HBM4 base dies. TSMC's N5 and below is booked, SK Hynix's N12 base die apparently still has problems, and Micron's internal base die is doubtful. N7 and Intel 3 are not viable for HBM4 base dies. Korean media report Samsung is considering adding 4nm capacity and a 2nm line for surging HBM4 base-die demand, and has raised prices on new 4nm foundry orders. x.comÂ
Nvidia's proposed common NVHBM base die would make Micron, SK hynix and Samsung more interchangeable, weakening their pricing power. Seoul Economic Daily reports Nvidia wants all three to fabricate it at TSMC; Samsung reportedly agreed. Standardization would ease validation and order shifts. The risk lessens if SK hynix or Micron retain their own logic or NVHBM stays a small share of Nvidia's purchases. x.comÂ