From Growth To Value
Founder of Potential Multibaggers/Best Anchor Stocks
Rubrik makes a strong case for itself over Microsoft in cyber recovery. Rubrik's chief business officer Mike Tornincasa said a critical-infrastructure customer hit by a nation-state attack on its Active Directory had its identity provider recovered by Rubrik in 3 hours and 24 minutes. Following Microsoft's own 100-plus-step best practices, often with consultants, takes days or weeks. x.comÂ
Rubrik's new partnership with MEDITECH extends its cyber resilience platform into a leading electronic health record system, and the stock has moved back above its 30-week average. Rubrik Security Cloud will bring immutable backups, threat detection, malware containment and rapid recovery to MEDITECH Expanse in cloud and on-premises settings, cutting ransomware downtime and protecting patient care. x.comÂ
Rubrik is a decent way to own cybersecurity at about 9x next-twelve-month revenue, while CrowdStrike, Cloudflare and Palo Alto Networks valuations look ridiculous. It still needs to improve margins and reduce dilution. x.comÂ
Being long what shrinks successful breaches beats owning Rubrik, which gets paid cleaning them up. Fixing may not stay a separate job: Astra went from 34 to 86 of 226 on FrontierCyber in one generation and Codex Security has marked 500,000 findings fixed. Recovery is harder to call, as models speed up attackers and defenders alike; no model restores a ransomed network today, as @AlokANYC's United example shows. Models could take on some restore work within five years, though how much is unclear. … Show more
Rubrik is worth buying because selling cybersecurity in the SaaS selloff was the most obvious miscalculation, as fears that AI tools like Claude would put such companies out of business were misplaced. x.comÂ
Rubrik should not be compared with SentinelOne because Rubrik generates real free cash flow. SentinelOne began decelerating before reaching $1 billion of revenue, while Rubrik is likely to exceed $2 billion and still grow at around 20% a year. Concerns about subscription billings timing miss the point; the past three years of cash generation show the trend. x.com x.comÂ
Rubrik is too expensive now against a $70-80 valuation, even though its very strong platform drives nearly 40% growth that can continue for many years as a cybersecurity and data-recovery play. x.comÂ
Rubrik is taking share from legacy backup vendors, with a large displacement opportunity still ahead. Per Scotiabank, the CIO of a $20B+ manufacturer is replacing a legacy vendor with Rubrik, scaling to a $6-7M run rate in 2026 and possibly $10M in 2027; Scotiabank puts Rubrik's share just over 10%, with about 40% of the market still on legacy vendors. Rubrik is replacing Dell and beat Commvault, Veeam and Cohesity in a direct evaluation. If Commvault does well, Rubrik should do better. x.com … Show more
Rubrik's work with Anthropic is strong validation of its capabilities. Anthropic cybersecurity lead Michael Moore said Rubrik is one of the partners putting Claude Mythos 5's cyber capabilities in defenders' hands to find and validate attack paths before attackers do. Rubrik built Code Guardian, an agentic cyber-resilience harness, on Claude Mythos 5. x.comÂ
Rubrik, Zscaler and Microsoft look very bearish: their reliance on cheap H-1B labor leaves their P&Ls exposed, and those P&Ls are expected to worsen. x.comÂ
Rubrik has become part of the cybersecurity infrastructure layer in the agentic AI era, agnostic to models, chips and clouds. Strong CrowdStrike and Okta reports should mean a substantial beat and raise, and maybe a rerating. If that doesn't come, it would raise questions, as security starts sorting into winners and not-winners. x.com x.comÂ
