Texas Instruments could command a P/E in the high 20s for FY2026, given strong EPS guidance of about $2 and a very bullish backdrop for microcontrollers, power electronics such as GaN and DC/DC, and analog chips for the AI data-center ramp. x.comÂ
Alex A.C.
Value/GARP Investor, Semiconductor & Financial Analysis, Electronics MEng
Analog is back, and Texas Instruments can reach $350 or more after great earnings and guidance. The stock printed a "god candle" on the results, and the bigger the base, the higher it can go. A post the author quotes says Texas Instruments leads with a 20% share of the analog market and is attempting a five-year base breakout with strong accumulation. x.comÂ
Texas Instruments is pushing ahead with further price increases, part of a second round of hikes across analog and power chipmakers, per @Omercheema. x.comÂ
Texas Instruments looks expensive as a $260 billion chipmaker trading at about 50 times earnings while earning only $1.5 billion this quarter. x.comÂ
Texas Instruments' lower-than-expected Q2 capex is no cause for panic: it built capacity aggressively ahead of the cycle and should now get capex leverage. Management confirmed its FY26 capex band, said it won't anchor to the low end and hinted at more capex plans after 2029. Zerohedge flagged Q2 capex of $514 million versus $676.3 million expected. It is textbook capital allocation and a case study in the importance of investment horizons. x.com x.com x.comÂ
If cars are becoming computers on wheels, analog chipmakers such as Texas Instruments and Analog Devices stand to sell a good chunk of the technology without bearing the still-uncertain risk of fully autonomous driving. Copart's CEO noted a new Tesla runs about 100 million lines of code, versus 30 million for an Airbus aircraft. x.comÂ
Price is now confirming the rotation into analog semiconductors, one of the most overlooked chip themes, with almost all names up 20%+ in two weeks and breaking out. GPUs need analog power management, demand spans AI data centers, EVs, robotics and industrial, and pricing power is strong. Analog typically leads late in the cycle, after core semis. Texas Instruments, the favorite, and Analog Devices hold almost 30% of the market, alongside onsemi, Lattice, Microchip and Allegro. x.com x.com x.comÂ
STMicroelectronics offers rare asymmetry for a large cap: a bear case in line with the S&P 500, a slightly better base case and a wildly better bull case. 2026 marked an inflection in its data-center business, with a multi-year, multi-billion-dollar Amazon agreement and guidance raised from $1B before 2030 to well above $2B in 2027. A base case with a modest AI business implies 15% annual growth through 2030; if photonics, power and robotics reach a third of revenue, 30-50%. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Texas Instruments and Microchip are breaking out of years of hibernation as a microcontroller shortage pulls the chip sector up. Both went nowhere for 3-5 years yet now top the S&P 500 on momentum scores, a pattern that signals something has changed. x.comÂ
NVIDIA's projected earnings growth could support substantial upside without an enormous multiple. At $221.97 it trades at 10.4x estimated FY2029 earnings; even at $350, nearly 58% higher, it would trade near 16.4x. Estimates imply roughly 130% cumulative EPS growth over the next two fiscal years and may be conservative. SpaceX and Meta earnings look bullish for future chip demand. Slower AI spending, margin pressure or competition could undermine the estimates. x.com x.comÂ
Penguin Solutions is growing fast on AI data center infrastructure and memory demand. Revenue grew 48% to $479M last quarter, integrated memory revenue jumped 111%, and AI-driven businesses made up 74% of sales. It raised fiscal 2026 guidance to 22% sales growth and $2.60 of adjusted EPS, and sees about 30% growth in both for fiscal 2027. x.comÂ