Celsius looks attractive at about 18x forward earnings after Alani and Rockstar drove revenue higher while its shares fell; continued international growth and wider distribution through Pepsi are key to the upside case. x.com 

Celsius has taken real share from Monster and Red Bull, yet the stock is still down 60% from its all-time high; the market is quick to price fear and slow to price progress. Celsius held under 1% of the US energy drink category in 2020, and by Q1 2026 Celsius, Alani Nu and Rockstar together held 21% dollar share. x.com 

Celsius carries too much risk despite significant insider buying. Bloom's scanner data, clear shelf-space gains and social momentum challenge Celsius, and freight is a headwind. Alani limited editions are doing well and accelerating slightly, but the core Celsius brand has no acceleration potential until Q1. x.com 

Celsius is tracking in line with management's projections, and Alani Nu is becoming surprisingly strong, setting up a great 2027 for shareholders. Per NielsenIQ data for the four weeks to September 19, Celsius Holdings' energy drink volume rose 9.8% with a 6.6% average price gain; the Celsius brand family fell 20% while Alani Nu rose 74.3% despite a 4% average price cut. x.com 

Celsius's Energy+ Hydration line can broaden demand by serving people seeking a noncarbonated drink, but customer switching and manufacturing and freight costs limit what it adds. In the 2027 forecast, 35% of $75M in line sales replaces existing Celsius purchases, leaving about $49M in additional revenue and $19M in gross profit after new production costs and avoided costs on displaced products, before marketing and overhead. The test is how much the line adds to the whole franchise. x.com 

Celsius looks unattractive because its moats are thin and it does not control the supply chain that matters for its business. Q2 adjusted EBITDA fell 32% year over year and the stock is down 32% to a 52-week low since its Alani Nu acquisition rally. A better P/E would be needed to make it interesting. x.com  x.com 

Celsius still looks undervalued after its latest earnings, trading about 59% below its 52-week high despite record revenue of $818 million. First-half revenue grew roughly 50%, and Alani Nu retail sales surged nearly 56%. x.com 

Celsius's Q1 2026 backs the cheap-valuation call, with revenue up 138% to $782.6M versus $763.1M expected and adjusted EPS of $0.41 versus $0.30. It now holds 21% of the US energy drink market, and its CEO says Celsius, Alani Nu and Rockstar Energy form a scaled modern energy portfolio recruiting new consumers and consumption occasions. x.com 

Celsius' outgoing COO managed to cut Celsius brand volume 18% through SKU rationalization. Per @BevInsights citing NielsenIQ, Celsius Holdings energy drink volume fell 0.2% in the four weeks to August 22 on a 9.7% average price gain, as Celsius brand family volume dropped 18.1% while Alani Nu rose 33%. x.com 

Celsius's post-earnings drop looks like a huge overreaction to the miss, and buyers should step in soon. Hedge funds bought more shares than they sold last quarter and will want to push the stock back up rather than lose money. x.com  x.com