Surging costs and tapped-out customers threaten Constellation Brands' beer business. Consumer companies loaded with debt and lacking pricing power are ones to avoid; Constellation Brands should drop below $100 before its next report. x.com 

Celsius's international expansion can double its revenue, yet it trades at a 75% discount to Monster on forward sales and 60% on forward earnings. Energy drinks have cult followings, are recession-proof and form a stable business model. x.com  x.com 

Molson Coors is a pretty good business priced far too cheaply at 8.5x 2027 earnings, with well-structured, well-termed debt. The stock is suppressed because it is a consensus funding short, and terminal-risk concerns should evaporate as the market eventually agrees, as long as management avoids bad M&A. x.com 

Molson Coors' terminal decline in beer sales looks priced in, so returns from current levels should be fine, backed by a 4.5% dividend easily covered by cash flow. x.com 

Celsius is cheap against its cash earnings. It trades at 13x cash earnings and 11x next year's, while beverage companies usually get 18x. Fair value is $44.37 to $56.47, or 18x next year's cash earnings give or take 12%, and the stock sits 35% below the low end, with a pullback zone at $25.33. This is a valuation read on reported earnings and revenue estimates only, with no fundamental work. x.com 

Celsius increasingly looks like a mature beverage business rather than a hypergrowth story, after a big miss on earnings and revenue. Sales grew just 10%, with growth expected around that level next year, and it is unclear whether this is temporary execution weakness or genuine brand deterioration. At 14x EPS the stock looks cheap, but arguably deserves to until growth stabilizes and reaccelerates. x.com