SoFi is a short, because responding to a short seller report is basically an admission of guilt. SoFi's investor relations team issued a response calling the report inaccurate, and that response is laughable. x.comÂ
Rittenhouse Research
AI Infrastructure, Data Centers, Neoclouds, Software & Fintech Research
SoFi's egregious dilution means business growth may fail to benefit existing shareholders. Its share count rose 61% over five years, reducing an original 1% stake to about 0.6%; even 61% earnings growth could leave earnings per share flat. As a bank, SoFi is already practically uninvestable by these standards, though dilution need not destroy value if the capital raised creates more value than the ownership surrendered. x.comÂ
Robinhood's higher revenue and EPS make it clearly stronger than SoFi on these earnings. SoFi's post-earnings rally is unlikely to hold; its shares are headed for single digits. x.com x.comÂ
SoFi's newly reported growth widens the gap between its operating results and a selloff driven by interest-rate fears. Revenue grew 45%, EPS 67% and members 35%, while the stock had fallen nearly 50%; the business is seen as able to succeed across rate environments. x.comÂ
SoFi is struggling and its leadership's blockchain push looks like a substitute for a real plan. CEO Anthony Noto calls blockchain the fix for archaic financial infrastructure, but SoFi is caught between sector rotation and agentic AI. Bulls cite $1.2B of net revenue, a pre-operating-expense metric, yet SoFi's profit margin is about 14% versus Robinhood's 42%, and it spends about 4x as much on sales and marketing. Its new stablecoin launched with a $60k transaction, years behind Circle. x.com … Show more
Robinhood's Q3 report still looks solid despite misses against tough year-ago peak crypto and equity comps. Revenue missed slightly; the EPS miss looks tied to $67M of unrealized mark-to-market losses primarily related to its RVI fund, explaining the drawdown. Its new banking feature looks frictionless: send cash by text without recipients needing Robinhood accounts, a nice Zelle alternative versus its partner bank. Robinhood is cyclical, unlike compounding SoFi, though both are great. x.com … Show more
SoFi's stronger revenue and earnings growth makes it worth staying with for at least another quarter. Per amitisinvesting, Q3 revenue rose 44% and adjusted EPS 64%, with 2027 revenue and EPS guidance above estimates. It still needs to show it can sustain the trajectory. x.com x.com x.comÂ
SoFi's CEO Anthony Noto is pitching a valuation the business does not justify. On a podcast he suggested SoFi should not trade at 2x tangible book or less, alluding to American Express's 5-6x peaks and JPMorgan's roughly 2.8x, yet no bank matches JPMorgan's size, scale and safety, and SoFi already trades near 2.25-2.3x. SoFi is second best or worse at everything and first at nothing, student loan refinancing is still a big slice, its credit card is uncompetitive, and savings are commoditized. … Show more
SoFi CEO Anthony Noto promoting crypto purchases with a $25 sign-up bonus should be a major red flag for shareholders, especially after Steve Eisman's podcast on SoFi. x.comÂ
SoFi's conservative 2027 guide leaves room to beat expectations, barring a macro shock. Its $6.4B revenue target is 4.2% above consensus and $0.90 EPS target is $0.08 ahead; Q3 revenue grew 44.5% and net margin widened 280 basis points year over year. Cross-selling is gaining traction, management says no capital raise is needed through 2027, and CEO Anthony Noto says he is as confident in durable growth at high rates as at low rates. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
SoFi's app is poor by the standards of modern financial-services apps, which makes the stock hard to justify owning right now. Investors should know a company's products before investing in it. x.comÂ