Take-Two Interactive is a gaming software play with great value and solid growth. MarketSurge has identified a wide cup-and-handle pattern with a target 30% above the $245 neckline. x.com
Dr. Stoxx
Stock Trader & Author, Oxford DPhil, Trading Education
Take-Two looks like a screaming opportunity at these levels, and with GTA 6 around the corner the stock should pop. x.com
Take-Two is down more than 25% from its all-time highs with GTA VI coming out in two months. x.com
Take-Two's GTA 6 excitement is already priced in, and without a marketplace or online ecosystem at launch, its larger commerce-platform thesis will take much longer to develop. The weekly structure broke and the stock has fallen about 25%, with a volume gap between $200 and $160; it should continue lower toward the monthly institutional buy zone, where $160-$170 offers a much better entry. Risk/reward doesn't justify a short here. x.com
Take-Two is a bullish, hero-or-zero bet on GTA VI. x.com
Take-Two could be a sell-the-rumor, buy-the-news setup ahead of GTA 6's November 19 release, which makes it worth a shot. The stock is down 20% from all-time highs set a couple of months ago, likely on online leaks, and sits at its February 2021 peak, nearly six years of going back and forth. x.com
Take-Two's $44B valuation is hard to justify after it lost $10B over four years, leaving only $3.6B of shareholder equity, while diluting shareholders by 50%. Even if GTA 6 is a huge success, it may not make up for those losses. x.com
Gaming, entertainment and streaming stocks, including Take-Two, are among the most asymmetric trades after GPT-6 Astra, because AI will bring radical cost transformation to these capital-intensive businesses once compute catches up. x.com x.com
Take-Two is a coiled spring waiting for GTA VI to print billions, so this quarter barely matters. Revenue rose just 2% to $1.53B while development costs and royalties jumped from $30M to $135M, cutting gross profit 7% and turning a $22M operating profit into a $36M loss; EPS fell from −$0.07 to −$0.18. Patience is required until the game launches. x.com
Take-Two could dip below 200 one more time before the GTA 6 release. Stocks facing binary events like this launch tend to make everyone panic right up until the last moment. x.com
Take-Two's GTA franchise has beaten the entire US market, and the sequel launches in four months. $1,000 put into Take-Two the day GTA V launched is worth $13,400 today, versus $4,200 in the S&P 500. Fading this franchise a second time would be a mistake. x.com