Chinese equities, including Alibaba and KWEB, look set for a rapid reversal: after months of profit-taking and decade lows in many names while US markets reached highs, this morning's inflow is a positive sign. There is still value in many of these names. x.com 

Chinese internet stocks remain a poor investment because the government treats successful companies as Communist Party vehicles when convenient. The KWEB fund is flat after 13 years while inflation rose 43%, and nearly every company hyped as the next Google disappointed; Beijing forced Jack Ma out and takes from firms that earn too much. China's population is shrinking fast and per-capita spending power is lagging, so capital is better deployed in the US, then Latin America and Southeast Asia. … Show more

Alibaba is sitting on its 200-week moving average just as China announces a stimulus plan, timing that supports the shares. x.com 

China tech stocks could rally as an underappreciated Trump visit to China nears, with almost no one talking about it. China tech earnings are also on deck, and some of the money that rotated out of China into Korea and Japan might start flowing back. x.com 

Big money is rotating out of overextended chips and AI plays, leaving semiconductor stocks that went straight up as exit liquidity for retail still piling in. The money is moving into software such as Accenture, Salesforce and ServiceNow, energy names Hawaiian Electric and Southern Company, and boring dividend stocks Whirlpool, Target and UPS. It is also flowing into China: Alibaba, JD.com, PDD, Baidu and Chinese internet stocks. x.com  x.com 

Alibaba, JD.com, Nio and Baidu are criminally undervalued and could act as a hedge in the next broad market downtrend, over a 12-18 month horizon. Fundamentals explain the underperformance: retail sales turned negative year over year and new home sales are down 27%, showing years of PBoC easing have failed to reach the real economy. But that is exactly when the greatest buying opportunities form, much as with semiconductors like AMD in late 2024 and early 2025. x.com  x.com 

Chinese internet stocks could draw renewed attention and a re-rating as President Trump's May visit to China opens a brief honeymoon in US-China relations. Recent geopolitics have left China in a relatively favorable position, the sector sits near a relative bottom, and its largest holdings' fundamentals keep improving. The sector finally moved on Trump's arrival in Beijing. If the talks go well, strength can continue; if they go badly, it will likely fall back and the position would be exited. … Show more

Alibaba's offering looks leaked and already priced in, and Friday's options activity points much higher. Big money dumped the stock Friday because of the leak, so at worst it retests its China low before moving up, and the stock is already way too cheap. x.com  x.com 

Alibaba should be taken seriously within the next three months, trading at just 10 times 2028 earnings. x.com  x.com 

Tencent's EV/EBITDA is at its lowest in a very long time, which may make it time to start buying. x.com