Ethereum's strong ecosystem is not translating into enough ETH value capture to support significant appreciation unless that changes. The Ethereum Foundation selling ETH again is frustrating; buybacks and stronger incentives for L2s to accumulate and buy back ETH could improve the token's economics. Fundstrat, which owns roughly 5% of the supply, has a huge opportunity to push for better value capture. x.com  x.com 

Ethereum shows that a winning network and a winning asset are not the same trade. Ethereum dominates stablecoins, real-world assets and DeFi settlement, yet ETH is still down 60% from its all-time high. The chain scaled, but the economics went elsewhere, and Base may be the most successful Ethereum product ever built, which is precisely the problem for the token. x.com 

ETH is undervalued because collateral and staking create demand L1 fees miss. Aave V3 has 2.2M WETH supplied and 1.75M borrowed on Ethereum. Yet Base reportedly paid Ethereum ~$15K for September data publishing versus $711K to the Optimism Collective, showing weak L1 capture. Absolute stablecoin growth matters more than share, but is not itself ETH demand. The case strengthens when activity creates sustained demand to hold, borrow against or stake ETH, or raises fee burn relative to issuance. … Show more

Ether's distribution is its biggest weakness, because proof-of-stake enshrines the Cantillon effect and poorly distributed moneys always fail. Proof-of-work spreads supply through forced selling by miners, who have real costs. Ethereum's long proof-of-work history does make its distribution unusual among chains that started as proof-of-stake, and @lex_node raises fair points, but distribution would be a major reason if Ethereum fails. x.com  x.com 

ETH's claim to be DeFi's money is weakening as stablecoins become the real unit of account, even on Ethereum. Aave's TVL on Ethereum has shifted from ETH toward stablecoins over the past three years. That undercuts @ryanberckmans's argument that ETH is a store of value accruing value from utility and confidence rather than cash flows. x.com 

Ethereum's growing stablecoin base contrasts with ether trading at roughly half its November 2021 price. The network holds $146 billion in stablecoins, up from $83 billion on November 10, 2021. x.com 

Ether is going to zero against Bitcoin. For what appears to be the first time ever, Tether has overtaken Ethereum for the second spot on CoinMarketCap. x.com 

Ether's price is falling while open interest rises, meaning leverage is building into the dump, a setup that tends to end badly for longs. x.com 

Ethereum's offchain execution and onchain proof verification make its scaling path for the tokenization supercycle very bullish. Correcting an earlier description, high-throughput execution happens offchain, while ZK proofs and transaction-state commitments are posted onchain for verification. Vitalik proposes client-side STARK proofs and EIP-8288 aggregation to keep heavy cryptographic computation and data out of scarce block space. x.com  x.com 

Circle stands to benefit because stablecoins strip out the fees that eat into digital payments. Of 8,605 X subscriptions at $1.00, only $1,595 was paid out, with 30% App Store fees, Stripe card fees and opaque FX rounding (X charges 2 CAD for a $1 price) disappearing along the way. Stablecoins are the future, and banks are already trying to control them through Clarity Act lobbying. Issuers like Circle are preferred over individual networks like Ethereum, since USDC is blockchain-agnostic. x.com  … Show more