ETH is undervalued because collateral and staking create demand L1 fees miss. Aave V3 has 2.2M WETH supplied and 1.75M borrowed on Ethereum. Yet Base reportedly paid Ethereum ~$15K for September data publishing versus $711K to the Optimism Collective, showing weak L1 capture. Absolute stablecoin growth matters more than share, but is not itself ETH demand. The case strengthens when activity creates sustained demand to hold, borrow against or stake ETH, or raises fee burn relative to issuance. … Show more

Ethereum's upside looks worth the bet because the payoff to its prior high is much larger than the downside, and buyers still respond to good news. There is roughly 16% down to $1,950 versus a little over 2x back to the prior all-time high. LIT caught a sharp bid around its US regulatory plans, and CHIP rallied 40% around a $1 million buyback; that response looks like a bull-market sign. x.com 

Ethereum faces slightly higher near-term selling risk as net inflows raise Binance's sellable ETH supply. Some 55,471 ETH entered and 47,596 left, net 7,875, though both flows have slowed. If inflows persist this week with ETF outflows and high US Treasury yields, pressure could grow around the Fed decision. Rising cumulative ETH 2.0 transactions bode well for network use, not direct demand or relief today. Losing $2,280-2,300 adds downside risk; recovery needs flow and price confirmation. x.com 

Ethereum's growing stablecoin base contrasts with ether trading at roughly half its November 2021 price. The network holds $146 billion in stablecoins, up from $83 billion on November 10, 2021. x.com 

Ethereum is set to lead this cycle's rally because its ETFs are drawing more buying than Bitcoin's. Ethereum ETFs took in $1.5 billion against $985 million for Bitcoin ETFs. Last cycle Bitcoin had more ETF buying and led the rally. x.com 

Ethereum's strong ecosystem is not translating into enough ETH value capture to support significant appreciation unless that changes. The Ethereum Foundation selling ETH again is frustrating; buybacks and stronger incentives for L2s to accumulate and buy back ETH could improve the token's economics. Fundstrat, which owns roughly 5% of the supply, has a huge opportunity to push for better value capture. x.com  x.com 

Ethereum can reach $20,000 this cycle because it now has the institutional support it lacked last cycle. BitMine and other Ethereum treasury companies are buying ETH, including through BitMine's preferred offering, much as bitcoin treasuries lifted bitcoin before. ETH is a top chain for stablecoins and the largest lending venue in crypto, the agentic AI narrative adds demand, and burns make it scarce. The macro environment also favors high-beta scarce assets. x.com 

Crypto's coming run will be much larger than 2020's because stock-market and gold runs into 2026 exceeded those into 2020. Bitcoin's and Ethereum's runs into 2025 also exceeded those into 2019. Macro-risk ratios across stocks, metals, oil, PMI and crypto again resemble 2016 and 2020, positioning Bitcoin, Ethereum and altcoins for a major bull run. Focus on 2027-28; the one-year median altcoin return against Bitcoin is still -17.5%. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Ethereum's liquidity is falling further behind Bitcoin's. ETH now has just 35–45% of Bitcoin's liquidity, versus at least 60% in 2025, with median ETH liquidity around $13–14M. x.com 

Ethereum is a buy, stake and hold as institutions accumulate and supply tightens. Spot ETF holdings rose from 3% to 10% of supply in a year, treasury vehicles keep stacking, 30% of ETH is staked, exchange balances keep falling and fee burns offset issuance in busy periods. Most stablecoin and tokenized-asset activity routes through Ethereum and its L2s, and staking pays about 3%. Institutional tokenization will happen, perhaps outside the US first. The Wave 3 target is $9,200. x.com