TechStockFundamentals
Technology Investor with ~25 Years of Experience, Former Hedge Fund Manager for 10 Years
FactSet risks having its app usage automated from outside and becoming unmonetizable as AI agents operate it directly. Its MCP integration was a huge advance and a growth driver, worth perhaps a 20% subscription uplift, but OpenAI's computer use worked well on a regular desktop session, if much slower, and simply noted the FactSet subscription to use when needed. SaaS bear points from earlier this year are materializing quickly. x.com x.comÂ
Enterprise SaaS companies such as Workday, ServiceNow and FactSet face a slowdown as AI absorbs enterprise focus. Their own AI offerings have not graduated from features to products, are not leading-edge and cost too much, while enterprises build agentic systems with large LLM companies or on their own. Where customers buy AI, they try to cut seats or shelfware, and they are signing shorter contracts because they are unsure of the future. x.comÂ
Software stocks probably have a floor as results challenge fears that AI agents will displace them. Since the June 22 momentum unwind, IGV is up 25% and the SOX index down 22%. Atlassian and Salesforce jumped on solid results, plus an Anthropic deal for Salesforce, and possible Silver Lake interest lifted Workday. A new bullish twist says agents will use software tools 10-100x more than humans. Whether fundamentals back the rally is still open; a likely Fed hike and weak September are risks. … Show more
Agentic AI strengthens the platforms that give agents a governed home rather than killing SaaS. Agents need persistent identity, permissions and shared memory, which lock them inside existing systems of record and turn each workflow into higher-value consumption. ServiceNow grew subscriptions 21-22% while its stock halved, and 60% of Salesforce Agentforce bookings come from existing customers. UiPath and Palantir also orchestrate agents. The selloff priced a broken model, not this. x.com x.com … Show more
Large mission-critical software platforms such as Atlassian, Twilio, Salesforce, Workday, ServiceNow and SAP are being lifted by AI, not destroyed by it. Datadog hit an all-time high on AI after Atlassian and Twilio accelerated. They can charge external AI agents a toll to access their systems of record, volume set to grow 100x in 12-24 months; sell their own agents; and expand into areas like security. AI resembles web to mobile, a tailwind for the best companies, though not all SaaS is safe. … Show more
These software names get stronger as AI grows, despite the early-2026 "AI will kill SaaS" sell-off. ServiceNow is becoming the control room that manages companies' AI agents. Salesforce's Agentforce brings in $1.2B a year and is tripling; Atlassian clients using Rovo spend twice as much; Adobe's business-safe Firefly earns $250M; Workday's agents bring nearly $500M. SAP and Snowflake hold the data AI needs, and Datadog monitors the extra systems AI creates, with the AI wave still early. x.com … Show more
AI will not replace Fortune 500 CRM platforms, as the moat of Salesforce, ServiceNow and HubSpot goes beyond the software. It lies in the data model, integrations, workflows and customer records; agents may even raise the value of a trusted system of record. Thin workflow tools are vulnerable and seat pricing faces pressure. Platforms that make AI a native operating layer to expand usage and monetization should be pretty good investments; they look near the end of a multi-year correction. x.comÂ
Salesforce faces real AI threats: more competition, margin headwinds from compute costs and disruption risk for businesses like Tableau and Service Cloud. Agentforce is showing some momentum, and the stock felt oversold earlier, but it is not attractive at current levels. x.comÂ
Enterprise agents reached financial validation in 2026, and the first winners are platforms that already control company data, permissions and workflows. ServiceNow's AI ACV topped $1B as agent deployments rose 9x in nine months; Salesforce's Agentforce ARR passed $1.5B; AI drove over 25% of Workday's new ACV; and Palantir's US commercial revenue grew 149%. Pricing may shift from seats to work completed, tapping labor budgets, and agent revenue could grow nonlinearly as reliability improves. … Show more
SaaS is alive: AI is not replacing entrenched enterprise platforms such as Palantir, Microsoft, ServiceNow, Shopify, Datadog, Salesforce, Snowflake, AppLovin, MongoDB and Zeta. Switching costs and risks are too high, and no credible CTO will swap ServiceNow for a stitched-together AI replacement. Using AI themselves should expand margins by cutting headcount bloat and lifting revenue through AI features. ServiceNow has 600+ customers with ACV over $5M, up 22%, and rose 23% in a week. x.comÂ
The SaaSpocalypse narrative makes less and less sense for Salesforce, ServiceNow and Palantir, because enterprises will deploy AI agents that use software tools rather than build their own software. Jensen Huang says agents won't replace tools but will use them, and NVIDIA has deployed so many agents that its tool usage is actually increasing. x.comÂ
Salesforce's AI monetization is moving from pilots into production, a direct hit to the SaaS seat-compression bear case. Consumption-based Agentforce and Zero Copy data are driving real net expansion. Agentforce ARR passed $1.5 billion, up 240%, and with Data 360 reached about $3.9 billion, while 3.2 billion agentic work units ran in the second quarter, up 97% sequentially. Revenue rose 11% to $11.35 billion in a clean beat, and fiscal 2027 guidance rose to $46.1-46.4 billion. x.comÂ
