Workday has 61% upside, according to a bot's model. x.com 

Workday at about 3x trailing price-to-sales is about as close to a floor as the stock is likely to get. Its stock-based compensation is legitimately comical, a concern @WaterworldCapi1 also raised, but the valuation already looks floor-ish. x.com 

Workday's Q2 was totally fine, and the business is steadier than the bearish narrative implied. Growth relies on upselling a mature HCM and finance base, giving about 10-12% revenue growth, while margins have plenty of room to rise from 14% GAAP. AI is only 6% of revenue, so the business is unlikely to change much. The real risk is big companies shifting spending to hotter AI tools such as Claude. A sale anywhere below $250 would be insulting to shareholders, and 20x earnings power is not crazy. … Show more

CoreWeave's pricing power is overlooked amid financing fears, making it potentially the most misunderstood AI stock right now. It had over $104B in Q2 backlog and signed $25B in net new commitments over six weeks. Short-term contracts approach $40M per MW annually versus about $7M on active capacity, but that rate cannot be applied fleetwide. A $4.2B convertible carried a 2.875% coupon despite near-15% unsecured bond yields; $35B debt, dilution and capacity-conversion risks remain. x.com 

Neoclouds' commodity economics and reliance on repeated debt and equity issuance could turn lost market confidence into a rapid financing collapse. If Nebius shares stay below $180.31 at maturity, two 2031 and 2033 converts could require about $4.3 billion in cash repayment or refinancing at higher rates; the underlying ChatGPT debt table was not checked. CoreWeave's 9.625% July 2032 bond yields about 14.3% in the chart. IREN faces the same capital-dependent risk. This won't end well. x.com  … Show more

Workday's problem is not vibe coding but fundamentals that have deteriorated since 2022. It spends 35% of revenue on R&D yet produces no products or features that drive growth, while spending heavily on acquisitions. @CapitalObserver notes it has nearly 15% short interest despite a forward free cash flow yield above 5%. x.com 

Workday offers one of the best risk/reward setups among Trump's top stock purchases from the first quarter, alongside Adobe. x.com 

Workday at 3x sales is a travesty for a business of its quality, implying the market expects management to destroy value through poor capital allocation on top of AI fears. It could likely raise margins toward 30% without much customer impact, given bloat and complacency; the same factors that make it easy to catch up also make it easy to run more profitably. Venture valuations like Rippling's make more sense with Workday at 6-8x sales. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Cogent Communications has a liquidity problem, not a solvency problem, making it a well-skewed bet but not a slam dunk. If it terms out its 2027 debt and reaches breakeven, its unique ex-Sprint fiber assets, worth about $3B+ to a buyer against $1.8B of debt, leave real equity value. The business grows 8% on a three-year stack and wavelengths over 60%. Rising 10-year yields and slow data-center ramps hurt, but at 85% debt to capital, any positive is a coiled spring. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Oracle's AI cloud momentum keeps the bullish view intact. OCI revenue grew 121% year over year, RPO reached $664B and new AI cloud contracts topped $30B. The risks are quarterly capex of $28.5B, free cash flow of about -$5B and a 10-year Treasury yield near 5%, macro pressure that can cap the valuation even after an earnings beat. The key test is whether the stock quickly holds $160 and breaks above $164-165 as AI cloud orders keep converting. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com