Celsius's repeated promotions may lift revenue and trial without building durable demand once the sale ends. The brand appears to be positioning itself as a value brand, and with most flavors not that good, it is hit or miss whether new buyers find one they keep buying. x.com  x.com 

Celsius looks unattractive because its moats are thin and it does not control the supply chain that matters for its business. Q2 adjusted EBITDA fell 32% year over year and the stock is down 32% to a 52-week low since its Alani Nu acquisition rally. A better P/E would be needed to make it interesting. x.com  x.com 

Celsius's Energy+ Hydration line can broaden demand by serving people seeking a noncarbonated drink, but customer switching and manufacturing and freight costs limit what it adds. In the 2027 forecast, 35% of $75M in line sales replaces existing Celsius purchases, leaving about $49M in additional revenue and $19M in gross profit after new production costs and avoided costs on displaced products, before marketing and overhead. The test is how much the line adds to the whole franchise. x.com 

Celsius's core brand is shrinking and further distribution gains look limited, making it a worse bet than DoorDash. Q2 revenue of $817.9M and adjusted EPS of 36c missed estimates, and organic growth excluding Rockstar was just 2% versus 9% expected, as brand Celsius fell 12% while Alani Nu grew 22%. Management offered little sign of a turnaround, and with the PepsiCo deal four years old, new c-store gains are likely limited. Celsius manages at best 5% organic growth at 16x 2026 earnings. x.com 

Celsius' outgoing COO managed to cut Celsius brand volume 18% through SKU rationalization. Per @BevInsights citing NielsenIQ, Celsius Holdings energy drink volume fell 0.2% in the four weeks to August 22 on a 9.7% average price gain, as Celsius brand family volume dropped 18.1% while Alani Nu rose 33%. x.com 

Celsius looks attractive at about 18x forward earnings after Alani and Rockstar drove revenue higher while its shares fell; continued international growth and wider distribution through Pepsi are key to the upside case. x.com 

Celsius has zero moat and looks like dead money. Price swings from $1.25 to $2.99 a can can drive deal-minded customers away, and copycats are getting into Kroger with ease. A reply argues distribution protects it, since rivals lack shelf space in the Coke, Pepsi and Keurig Dr Pepper systems, but that doesn't change the view. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Celsius carries too much risk despite significant insider buying. Bloom's scanner data, clear shelf-space gains and social momentum challenge Celsius, and freight is a headwind. Alani limited editions are doing well and accelerating slightly, but the core Celsius brand has no acceleration potential until Q1. x.com 

Celsius's selloff is stupid because the market mistakes a deliberate choice to push Alani for weakness in the core Celsius brand. Seen as a portfolio of brands, Celsius is the category, especially for women, and category growth matters more than share shifts between its brands. A bearish expert on a UBS call was dead wrong with a different bear case before, and the drop may reflect hedge funds degrossing a crowded long from before the Iran conflict. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Celsius overpaid for Alani Nu, and a Texas investigation now threatens the branding it paid for. Celsius bought Alani Nu for $1.775 billion in April 2025 to reach a younger demographic, and its colorful, social-native branding was the acquisition price. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's office, in a probe tied to a teenager's death, calls that branding deceptive marketing to minors. A finding could force reformulation, labeling changes or marketing limits, structurally impairing the asset. … Show more