ICE's planned US perps access could grow Hyperliquid's users, volume and revenue, but that growth may already be priced into HYPE. CFTC approval, a launch and actual US adoption are still needed; even then, extra fees and buybacks must beat expectations. ICE backing, Druckenmiller investing and Elon tweeting have made the story widespread. The easy HYPE trade looks over for average retail investors, though this call could be early. x.com  x.com 

HYPE is selling off because its big buyer has run out of money. The ETF has used up its entire at-the-market offering and is no longer buying, which explains the price action. x.com  x.com 

Hyperliquid's growing perp share feeds fees into HYPE buybacks even as the market shrinks. Its share among the top 12 perp DEXs rose from 25% in January to 43% in September, below August's 47% peak. Its trailing buyback yield is 3.52% versus 1.51% for the S&P 500, but depends on trading volume and shrinks on fully diluted supply as tokens unlock. Watcher Guru reported plans by the NYSE owner to bring HYPE perps to regulated US markets; $100 remains the chart target. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  … Show more

Binance's spot listing of Hyperliquid's HYPE token is likely its short-term top. Per @coinbureau, HYPE surged near $95 on the announcement. @Kaffchad argues Binance only validates existing volume and retail will chase well past $95; the reply is that this marks the short-term top. x.com  x.com 

Hyperliquid Strategies is an accretive, well-executed way to own HYPE for investors who aren't on-chain. Its share issuance isn't cashed out but added to the balance sheet as HYPE, and it has zero debt and over $1 billion in assets. Strategy issued heavily yet rose 42x from its 2022 low to its 2025 high, and from low to high Hyperliquid Strategies has actually outperformed HYPE itself. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Hyperliquid's buybacks return value to HYPE holders as its trading business grows. Its 2025 token buybacks totaled $817.79 million, more than Robinhood's $653 million in stock repurchases. Traditional finance moving onchain could bring hundreds of trillions in digital assets and quadrillions in derivatives volume; even at today's price, HYPE still has 100x potential. x.com  x.com 

Cboe Global Markets will in all probability trade higher a year from now, because its selloff overweights a spectacular new threat that barely touches the business. The scare was Hyperliquid perpetual futures: $1.4B of SpaceX perp volume made headlines, but open interest was about $100M and the product only filled a gap before the SpaceX IPO. Cboe is an extraordinarily high-quality business, derivatives are needed for hedging, and incumbents can copy perps, as Cboe plans for BTC and ETH. x.com  … Show more

NEAR can never be money, so any monetary or privacy premium ascribed to the token will flow to permissionless neutral protocols like Zcash and, to a lesser degree, Monero. NEAR's freezing of funds from the Bitget hack was the right business decision, but it shows that programmability creates governance surface area that is antithetical to money. The NEAR chain made about $150k in 30 days, Intents $1.7M and perps $61k, an insane multiple for something that isn't money. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Hyperliquid is attractive because live protocols with oracle and liquidation risk can charge for ongoing risk management, giving them a potential moat. Easily copied protocols may see margins competed away. Crypto revenue continues to rise while total market cap is down nearly 40%, making good revenue-backed coins a generational long-term opportunity. Not every protocol has a moat. x.com  x.com  x.com 

dYdX is the biggest decentralized perpetuals exchange, with billions in daily volume and real fees, users and protocol, yet its token is down 97% from its all-time high. The DeFi perps narrative is heating up, and dYdX is the original. x.com