Heavy put bets at $170 provide a positioning basis for Coinbase's $180 target by October 23. Shares are holding above that put wall; no chase. x.com
Donald Dean
Economist & Technical Analyst, Fibonacci/Gamma Trading
Coinbase stands to gain as crypto gears up for a massive move very soon, with the breakout setup looking prime. x.com
Ethereum's Coinbase discount is as deep as at the macro bottom, so it's time to start thinking about huge spot buys. US institutions are selling into the same discount, as shown by the negative Coinbase premium. x.com
Coinbase is expensive against its cash earnings. At $184.53 it trades at 70x cash earnings and 62x next year's, while the industry usually gets 30x. Fair value is $78.24–$99.58, or 30x next year's cash earnings give or take 12%, leaving the stock 85% above the high end. This is a levels-only read off reported earnings and revenue estimates, with no fundamental work. x.com
Coinbase is pivoting from retail brokerage to the main institutional gateway for crypto, which its price does not fully credit; rated Overweight with a $290 December 2026 target. Spot bitcoin and ether ETPs validated its infrastructure, while custody, Circle revenue and stablecoin income give a floor beyond retail trading. The sum-of-the-parts target values the exchange at 35x plus Circle, crypto holdings and Base. Q1 was a big miss, yet the stock should rise. Risks: a crypto slump, new rivals. … Show more
Coinbase is sitting in a big smart-money discount zone with its bull structure still intact, making this the spot for a bounce and possibly the start of a new bull cycle. $3M of unusual call buying hit on the day. x.com
Coinbase's likeliest price path is lower as bitcoin finishes the final leg of its bear market. @BobLoukas argues Coinbase is bloated and overvalued, with horrible customer service, crypto retail activity dead, customers having other options and an underwhelming Base chain. x.com
Coinbase is hard to be structurally bearish on for anyone bullish on crypto infrastructure, as one of the few scaled public companies at the center of stablecoins, tokenization, custody and crypto's merger with TradFi. After a 10x run from 2022, it has consolidated for two years, with buyers defending the $140-160 zone three times. With retail interest gone and attention exhausted, conditions are set for the next large move, though a sustained move above $245-320 is still needed. x.com
Coinbase and Strategy amplify every move bitcoin and Ethereum make, making them the most asymmetric way to buy the crypto crash while the crowd sells. Their Wave 3 targets are $676 for Coinbase and $952 for Strategy. x.com
Coinbase is a bubbly stock priced as a proxy for crypto trading, yet experienced crypto users leave it for better exchanges. It works for beginners, where it can take advantage of unknowledgeable investors, but more than a decade of crypto use shows Coinbase gets replaced as soon as users find something better. x.com
Coinbase is becoming much more than a crypto exchange, with USDC, derivatives, prediction markets, tokenization and Base. The chart supports it: the stock has built a massive seven-month Stage 1 base and reclaimed its 200-day moving average, and when it gets going it tends to move hard. x.com