Robinhood is well positioned to benefit from tokenization, which Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev says is entering a supercycle that will eat the entire financial system. Traditional finance firms will be more involved than many expect, and distribution and liquidity are paramount. Under-covered public crypto infrastructure companies valued below $5B, Bakkt, BitGo and Bullish, are also building in this space, and the pie will be big enough for everyone involved. x.com 

Coinbase is pivoting from retail brokerage to the main institutional gateway for crypto, which its price does not fully credit; rated Overweight with a $290 December 2026 target. Spot bitcoin and ether ETPs validated its infrastructure, while custody, Circle revenue and stablecoin income give a floor beyond retail trading. The sum-of-the-parts target values the exchange at 35x plus Circle, crypto holdings and Base. Q1 was a big miss, yet the stock should rise. Risks: a crypto slump, new rivals. … Show more

Bakkt has never generated real earnings and still cannot articulate a coherent strategy to do so. Bull valuations that rest on hoped-for future EBITDA, such as 10x a $100M figure, are wishful thinking. x.com 

Coinbase is testing the same support that held in September 2024, February 2025 and April 2025, and the drop reflects spiking rates, not a broken company. It has $7 billion of revenue and $1.26 billion of net income, yet the stock is down 38% year to date and 59% year over year. Crypto's next cycle has not started yet, which makes this the setup. x.com 

Coinbase is hard to be structurally bearish on for anyone bullish on crypto infrastructure, as one of the few scaled public companies at the center of stablecoins, tokenization, custody and crypto's merger with TradFi. After a 10x run from 2022, it has consolidated for two years, with buyers defending the $140-160 zone three times. With retail interest gone and attention exhausted, conditions are set for the next large move, though a sustained move above $245-320 is still needed. x.com 

Bakkt has destroyed shareholder value through dilution, falling from $40 to under $8. A reply the author answers adds that despite NYSE backing and $3.5 billion in revenue, management diluted retail with ATMs and burned $40 million a quarter. The same accounts that once promoted Bakkt now defend IREN's $6 billion dilution. x.com 

Strategy is cooked after mismanaging its balance sheet, per Jeff Dorman speaking with Laura Shin. It raised about $2 billion to cover dividends for 18 months, then a month later spent $1.4 billion of that cushion buying back 2029 convertible debt at 92 cents, debt not due for three years. That cut the cushion to about four months, and Michael Saylor now signals Strategy may sell bitcoin, which Dorman says is why both bitcoin and the stock are imploding. x.com 

Twenty One Capital's actions speak louder than its promises. It said it would buy $48B of bitcoin yet has purchased none, and almost a year on there is still no clear business model, strategy or products. Jack Mallers is likable but serves as the mouthpiece for backers who are a concern, so Strategy, Metaplanet and Strive are the better focus. x.com  x.com 

Bakkt's history of pivots, reverse splits and dilution makes it far likelier to go to zero than to become a legendary multibagger. Through each iteration, investors are assured this time is different and it is a whole new company. Occasionally such companies pull it off, but usually they do not. x.com 

Coinbase should recover into a more diversified business when bitcoin recovers, yet it trades as if its only product broke. In nine months it added zero-commission stock trading, prediction markets at $100M annualized revenue, stock and pre-IPO perps, and derivatives at $200M annualized, and it receives about 50% of USDC economics. Bitcoin near $64K sits below its ~$87K mining cost, historically a buy signal. At 6-7x sales versus Robinhood's 18.6x, the risk/reward is favorable. x.com