Workday looks undervalued, with multiple valuation models putting intrinsic value near $165, a 15-16% discount, despite fears that AI will disrupt SaaS and weak enterprise software guidance from IBM. Its AI agents run at enterprise scale for over 4,000 clients, its 12-month subscription backlog grew more than 15%, and non-GAAP operating margin widened to 31.8% as management raised full-year profit guidance. x.com 

Software looks like a group that can lead the market higher, with many names from Palantir and ServiceNow to Zeta and MongoDB moving from late Stage 4 or Stage 1 into early Stage 2 uptrends. Sentiment is at an all-time low on fears that AI agents and chatbots will replace SaaS. AI will disrupt some areas, but many software businesses are using it to grow revenue, ship faster and expand operating leverage, and will thrive. The charts will separate survivors from the dead. x.com  x.com 

Seat-based software incumbents have no obvious right to win the AI shift, so buying SaaS on a rebound call is risky. Dan Shipper, on Lenny Rachitsky's podcast, said SaaS stocks will be up majorly in the next couple of years. But paradigm shifts rarely favor incumbents: these companies are slow and bloated, with business models that keep them from fully adopting AI, while rivals are AI-native. Asking customers what they buy and how they rate incumbents' AI features may change minds. x.com 

Large mission-critical software platforms such as Atlassian, Twilio, Salesforce, Workday, ServiceNow and SAP are being lifted by AI, not destroyed by it. Datadog hit an all-time high on AI after Atlassian and Twilio accelerated. They can charge external AI agents a toll to access their systems of record, volume set to grow 100x in 12-24 months; sell their own agents; and expand into areas like security. AI resembles web to mobile, a tailwind for the best companies, though not all SaaS is safe. … Show more

Adobe, Salesforce and ServiceNow still generate massive cash flow, push deeper into AI and sit at the center of enterprise operations. Three of the biggest SaaS names remain beaten up in 2026; their valuations have been crushed, but the long-term opportunity may not have been. The market has swung way too far against them. x.com 

AI is forcing a repricing of the enterprise software business model, and for ServiceNow and SAP the reset is not finished. Claude Managed Agents eased production AI deployment, ServiceNow's AI bundling raised monetization questions, and SAP warned of short-term pain like its cloud-migration margin squeeze. Multiples compress before new economics are understood, and most software still trades at a premium on GAAP P/E and EV/FCF ex-stock comp. Workday at 1.7x revenue hints at a floor. x.com 

AI will not replace Fortune 500 CRM platforms, as the moat of Salesforce, ServiceNow and HubSpot goes beyond the software. It lies in the data model, integrations, workflows and customer records; agents may even raise the value of a trusted system of record. Thin workflow tools are vulnerable and seat pricing faces pressure. Platforms that make AI a native operating layer to expand usage and monetization should be pretty good investments; they look near the end of a multi-year correction. x.com 

Software stocks probably have a floor as results challenge fears that AI agents will displace them. Since the June 22 momentum unwind, IGV is up 25% and the SOX index down 22%. Atlassian and Salesforce jumped on solid results, plus an Anthropic deal for Salesforce, and possible Silver Lake interest lifted Workday. A new bullish twist says agents will use software tools 10-100x more than humans. Whether fundamentals back the rally is still open; a likely Fed hike and weak September are risks. … Show more

Software companies face a multi-year repricing because AI has removed the scarcity that made software valuable. For 20 years building software required engineers, letting SaaS firms charge monthly fees forever; when anyone can build a working product in a weekend with Claude, software stops being the moat. Atlassian is down 75%, HubSpot 69% and Figma 86%, and layoffs show headcount no longer scales with output. Survivors will be those with distribution, data and trust underneath. x.com 

Agentic AI strengthens the platforms that give agents a governed home rather than killing SaaS. Agents need persistent identity, permissions and shared memory, which lock them inside existing systems of record and turn each workflow into higher-value consumption. ServiceNow grew subscriptions 21-22% while its stock halved, and 60% of Salesforce Agentforce bookings come from existing customers. UiPath and Palantir also orchestrate agents. The selloff priced a broken model, not this. x.com  x.com  … Show more