Memory-cost pressure, weak volumes and weak services should make Apple's quarter bad, giving the short a chance to work on this quarter alone. Other hardware companies this quarter also point to weakness, though Apple has been a terrible short so far. x.com  x.com 

Apple's roughly 40 times trailing and 37 times forward earnings make the shares too expensive ahead of next week's results. A short looks reasonable, though a sell-the-news reaction after earnings remains uncertain. x.com  x.com 

Apple's balance sheet and lack of spend keep a bid under its stock whether the market rises or falls. That bid gets stronger with foldable phones that break. x.com 

Apple looks unattractive at 31x next-12-month EPS as memory prices are set to hurt both its revenue and gross margins. Not investing heavily in AI capex or LLM training helps in the near term but carries longer-term risks. x.com 

Apple was hard to own into earnings, and guidance came in softer than expected. Services guidance was $30.74B versus $31.22B expected, and China $18.8B versus $19.6B. Memory and storage chip prices have quadrupled on AI demand, raising margin fears and pushing Apple to lift Mac and iPad prices up to 25%, with bigger iPhone hikes expected. Shares had surged into the print, so even a beat was priced in, and Siri AI underwhelms. Apple has mostly been rising on fluff news. x.com  x.com 

Apple's 9% drop on weaker guidance is negligible for a long-term holder. It beat earnings, but guidance was hurt by significant DRAM and NAND price inflation and supply constraints, which also suggests the memory supercycle is not over. Apple is one of the names worth holding long term, and Alphabet's earnings gap-down recovered within days. x.com 

Apple stock remains unattractive as memory costs threaten demand and supply. Nikkei reports memory-driven iPhone price hikes dampened demand, with October Pro and Pro Max component orders cut at least 15%; Chinese media instead cite a slight Pro dip and Pro Max rise. Apple may still lack long-term memory supply deals, according to market chatter; Korean analysts expect sharp NAND and DRAM price hikes for Apple early next year. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Apple's weak Mac and iPhone demand and soaring costs threaten worse Q3 results and Q4 guidance than its weak Q2. IDC estimates Mac sales fell 11% y/y in Q3 after rising 13% in Q2. Counterpoint says Pro sales rose just 3% in the first three weeks while overall iPhone sales fell; lower-end models are absent this year. Foldable yields are reportedly 60%, and $100 price hikes may not offset costs. At $5 trillion, 39 P/E and 11 times sales, Apple's crowded 'safe haven' looks vulnerable. x.com 

Apple is emerging as Big Tech's safe haven because it is immune to the AI infrastructure spending that has hyperscalers burning cash. Its 10.1x EV/sales valuation is elevated versus history but arguably justified by renewed growth and that immunity. A multi-model signal is very bullish, with all four models risk-on. The one technical wrinkle: a full selloff extension could target $292, so tomorrow's product event risks a sell-the-news replay of February–March. x.com 

Apple is a victim of the AI memory boom: it is paying more for the same memory and storage chips that made Micron's quarter a blowout, and reportedly raised iPad and MacBook prices as a result. The shares fell 6.1% on the reports. In this supply-chain repricing, the picks-and-shovels names win and the device makers absorb the cost. x.com