Shopify is becoming the infrastructure layer between merchants and AI agents, making AI a source of new demand rather than only a threat. In Q2, AI-driven traffic and orders tripled, and new-buyer orders from AI channels came at nearly twice other channels' rate. Its Catalog gives agents over 1 billion products with 2x higher conversion, and MRR growth reached 19%. A 79x forward P/E premium is justified by accelerating growth, strong retention and improving profitability, if execution holds. … Show more

Shopify is becoming the infrastructure layer for modern commerce, not just a store builder. Payments, Shop Pay, lending, analytics and apps deepen its ecosystem, and even if AI makes building stores easier, merchants still need payments, checkout, inventory, customer data and fraud prevention. Revenue rose 34%, GMV 32% to $115.6B, and free cash flow margin hit 18%; growing over 30% while expanding margins at this maturity is impressive. President Harley Finkelstein called it a monster quarter. … Show more

Shopify is an outstanding company with elite management, but it is too expensive because it is evolving into a fintech and gross margins will likely compress over time. Merchant Solutions keeps growing faster than Subscriptions, even as GMV compounds exceptionally and take rates expand. It would be worth owning again at a lower valuation. x.com 

Shopify's 34% growth and 15% FCF margin give it an elite Rule of 40 score of 49, so the market will forgive its GAAP loss. That loss came from a $1.1B write-down on its stakes in Affirm, Global-e and Klaviyo, market volatility rather than business failure. Merchant Solutions grew 39% versus 21% for subscriptions, showing Shopify is really a fintech company, and Bloomberg flows show smart money buying the dip at $108. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Agentic AI commerce could unlock Shopify's next major growth opportunity. Revenue is projected to more than double from $11.6B to $24.2B by 2028, while EPS is expected to rise from $1.48 to $3.32, more than 2.2 times. x.com 

Shopify the stock, not the company, is the problem: at about 10x sales and 60x forward earnings, expectations are so stretched that small disappointments could bring large multiple compression. The business is exceptional, with revenue up 34%, a beat, and a growth outlook raised to the low 30s from the high 20s. But the higher-quality subscription business grows much slower than merchant solutions, which carry different economics. Upside needs acceleration; downside needs only normalization. … Show more

Shopify, Meta Platforms, Netflix and Salesforce are high-quality large caps now available at opportunity prices, despite the claim that such chances never come. x.com 

Shopify is one of the clearest application-software examples of AI materially accelerating growth. Sell-side channel checks point to strong ongoing momentum and AI product attach rates, while Tobi keeps pushing to be first with new products and integrations. The shares are near their pandemic-bubble peak, yet still look discounted to this opportunity; the multiple is lofty, but nowhere near its 2021 level. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Shopify is one of the best businesses around, but its valuation is too difficult to justify owning it. @profpicsou's article asks whether AI will destroy SaaS and whether Shopify, now a near-unavoidable commerce machine with millions of stores and a huge ecosystem, is well placed as plugins connect to ChatGPT, and at what price. Its section on AI and agentic impact is especially worth reading. x.com 

Shopify's high P/E understates its value because the metric is weak in isolation. P/E looks backward, which is wrong for a company growing 30%. Shopify's EPS also falls when its Global-e and Affirm stakes drop, even if it sells no shares. Its high price-to-operating-cash-flow reflects very low capex and growth investments that are not deducted. Judging on P/E alone rarely lets you own the best companies. x.com