Wayne Liang
Asymmetric Investment Research, Trade Alerts & Toolkits
Vishay Precision Group's DTS unit just won 2026 Supplier of the Year for its crash-testing technology, more evidence the company is positioned to scale on all fronts. That precision measurement category overlaps with humanoid robotics testing, and VPG has 50+ years of IP compounding across three segments: sensors, weighing solutions and measurement systems, all growing year over year. x.comÂ
Vishay Precision Group is a solid candidate to supply Tesla's Optimus, because certain specialty sensor components took decades of R&D and are dominated by a handful of names: Bosch, Honeywell, TE Connectivity and VPG. It already supplies multiple humanoid makers and is in discussions with a new, unnamed one. With Tesla targeting 1M Optimus units a year, even a modest contract could lift VPG's humanoid revenue 50-100x; a Tesla deal is speculative, which is why it is not priced in. x.comÂ
Vishay Precision Group is a pick-and-shovel play on humanoid robots, which need large volumes of strain gages and precision torque sensors where VPG is a global technology leader. It is already in the pre-production supply chains of four humanoid developers, and management expects its robot revenue, $4 million in 2025, to compound 50% a year. Its bulk metal foil resistors are essential to AI chip test equipment and server boards, and Q1 brought record defense resistor orders. x.comÂ
Vishay Precision Group looks cheap relative to its growth while robotics is still in its infancy. The upside is huge against medium downside risk; size accordingly. x.comÂ
Vishay Precision Group makes the foil strain gauges that give humanoid robot wrists their sense of touch, and once qualified into a robot or flight design they are hard to swap out. Orders outrun shipments: book-to-bill was 1.14, a seventh straight quarter above 1.0, with a $136M backlog, and Q2 revenue grew 12% at a 39% gross margin with net cash. At 43.6x forward earnings, part of the story is priced in. It fails if the humanoid vendor nomination never becomes a production order. x.comÂ
Vishay Precision Group has at least 10-15x upside to a $10B market cap if robotics is even half of what Elon Musk and other experts predict. It supplies one of the hardest hardware parts to make, has three customers prototyping, and trades at only about $700M. Low trading volume suggests there are no sellers. x.comÂ
Vishay Precision Group looks attractively valued at about $1.5B, or 5x sales, after a pullback, with possible humanoid robot upside. Revenue is $300M and growing 17%, gross margin is 39%, and humanoids are projected to grow at a 50% CAGR to 2028. There has been no public announcement of a large contract with Tesla or Figure AI, only breadcrumbs from announcement timing and investor-call references, so the humanoid story could prove hyperbole. x.comÂ
Vishay Precision Group and Ouster cover two of a robot's most important parts, grip and vision, making them a combination to hold for a decade or more. Vishay Precision Group addresses hands, fingers and grip, while Ouster addresses eyes and vision. Vishay Precision Group could easily become a $10 billion company once humanoids reach volume production in a couple of years. x.comÂ
A sharply higher humanoid shipment forecast supports robotics suppliers even as sentiment struggles. JPMorgan now sees 1.8 million units by 2030, about 152% CAGR. Ouster offers broad perception exposure through Rev8, Stereolabs and software; Harmonic Drive makes rotary actuators, Regal Rexnord frameless torque motors and linear actuators, VPG force/torque sensors for joints and grippers, and One Stop Systems rugged edge AI compute for field robots. x.comÂ
Robotics component suppliers get paid on every robot no matter which maker wins, as capital floods into the sector. Robotics VC hit a record of over $16 billion in a quarter, and Goldman sees the humanoid market growing from under $2 billion to $38 billion by 2035, with the inflection around 2027-28. Nvidia supplies the compute and training platforms, Ambarella edge AI chips, Ouster lidar, Vishay Precision force sensors, and memory makers the memory every robot needs. x.com x.comÂ
Humanoid production is scaling faster than expected, and the value lies in components robots can't be built without; Figure now makes 24 a day. Vishay Precision Group's Bulk Metal Foil sensing has no real equal in thermal stability and drift. Nabtesco, with ~60% of robot reducers, has the hardest moat, in heavy joints. Harmonic Drive Systems leads strain-wave gears but has slid from ~60% share to 30-40% as Chinese rivals undercut it by 40-60%, though it keeps premium pricing where trust matters. … Show more
These five robotics stocks build the eyes, nerves, brains and muscles robots need. Symbotic is a pure-play winner with AI warehouse robotics deployed at massive scale. Teradyne, via Universal Robots, leads industrial robots and cobots. Cognex supplies the machine vision and AI inspection robots need to see and quality-check. Ouster's lidar gives robots depth perception and autonomy. Vishay Precision Group makes the force, torque, strain and motion sensors for precise robot control. x.comÂ
