Vishay Precision Group looks cheap relative to its growth while robotics is still in its infancy. The upside is huge against medium downside risk; size accordingly. x.comÂ
Joe
Full-Time Trader/Investor, Semiconductor & AI Infrastructure Inflection Points
Vishay Precision Group is a pick-and-shovel play on humanoid robots, which need large volumes of strain gages and precision torque sensors where VPG is a global technology leader. It is already in the pre-production supply chains of four humanoid developers, and management expects its robot revenue, $4 million in 2025, to compound 50% a year. Its bulk metal foil resistors are essential to AI chip test equipment and server boards, and Q1 brought record defense resistor orders. x.comÂ
Vishay Precision Group looks attractively valued at about $1.5B, or 5x sales, after a pullback, with possible humanoid robot upside. Revenue is $300M and growing 17%, gross margin is 39%, and humanoids are projected to grow at a 50% CAGR to 2028. There has been no public announcement of a large contract with Tesla or Figure AI, only breadcrumbs from announcement timing and investor-call references, so the humanoid story could prove hyperbole. x.comÂ
Vishay Precision Group makes the foil strain gauges that give humanoid robot wrists their sense of touch, and once qualified into a robot or flight design they are hard to swap out. Orders outrun shipments: book-to-bill was 1.14, a seventh straight quarter above 1.0, with a $136M backlog, and Q2 revenue grew 12% at a 39% gross margin with net cash. At 43.6x forward earnings, part of the story is priced in. It fails if the humanoid vendor nomination never becomes a production order. x.comÂ
A sharply higher humanoid shipment forecast supports robotics suppliers even as sentiment struggles. JPMorgan now sees 1.8 million units by 2030, about 152% CAGR. Ouster offers broad perception exposure through Rev8, Stereolabs and software; Harmonic Drive makes rotary actuators, Regal Rexnord frameless torque motors and linear actuators, VPG force/torque sensors for joints and grippers, and One Stop Systems rugged edge AI compute for field robots. x.comÂ
Ouster, Ambarella and Vishay Precision Group remain long-term robotics favorites, but after jumps of 40%, 36% and 15% on weekend robotics enthusiasm, they are not ones to buy heavily now. Other parts of the market offer better risk/reward. Robotics could be a great short-term trade, but if it is still early for robotics investing, holding for more than a trade over the next few months makes little sense. x.com x.comÂ
Vishay Intertechnology combines a huge base breakout with two powerful themes, power semiconductors and robotics, where it is a hidden supplier. The stock broke out of and successfully retested its 26-year base, rising 12% in a day, and it is approaching its dot-com and 2008 highs. x.comÂ
Vishay Precision Group's DTS unit just won 2026 Supplier of the Year for its crash-testing technology, more evidence the company is positioned to scale on all fronts. That precision measurement category overlaps with humanoid robotics testing, and VPG has 50+ years of IP compounding across three segments: sensors, weighing solutions and measurement systems, all growing year over year. x.comÂ
Robotics looks bullish, but the picks-and-shovels plays are hard to see at this stage, and Ouster is one way in. Ouster is still risky because a lot of Chinese lidar is cheaper. x.com x.comÂ
Actuator and bearing makers are the best way to play robotics, since actuators are over 50% of a robot's bill of materials and Morgan Stanley expects 300x growth through 2050. The humanoid opportunity is massive for RBC Bearings next to the ~$50M it makes there today; Regal Rexnord expects humanoids to take off quickly and trades far cheaper; Harmonic Drive dominates strain-wave gears. Novanta, with robotics bookings up 50%, and Vishay Precision, likely in Tesla's Optimus, win indirectly. x.com … Show more
Robots will inevitably scale across all kinds of applications, and picks-and-shovels suppliers are the way to invest now. Nvidia, Teradyne and Symbotic are the obvious plays. Less-noticed names cover each robot function: Ouster's lidar as the eyes, Vishay Precision Group's force and torque sensors for touch and balance, Ambarella's edge AI chips as the brain, and Regal Rexnord's motors, actuators and bearings as the muscle. Short-term prices may fluctuate with the macro. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ