Sean Sharpe
Catalyst Swing Trader, Author of Stocks in Play Newsletter
Applied Digital's president reportedly bought 300,000 shares, a $5.66 million vote of confidence as the stock pulls back into the weekly Fibonacci buy zone. The chart marks a bullish turn only above $48.20. x.comÂ
Applied Digital's average analyst price target of $74.23 implies more than 200% upside, yet few people seem to be buying the stock. x.comÂ
Applied Digital is unlikely to recover until the AI field turns into a full raging market, because stronger neocloud names like Nebius soak up the volume whenever the theme gets a bid. It could still reach $60+ one day. x.comÂ
Applied Digital's data-center buildout is paying off, with $73B of potential contracted revenue now signed with investment-grade hyperscalers. Earlier, with ground broken on Polaris Forge 2 and another deal in the works, the company already had a clear path to $1B+ in annual recurring revenue. x.comÂ
Applied Digital's contracted backlog is more than twice its market value, so the market is giving the backlog away for free. It has $16 billion of signed 15-year leases with CoreWeave and an investment-grade US hyperscaler against a $7.5 billion market value. Revenue rose 250% to $126.6 million in fiscal Q2, its first 100 MW Polaris Forge 1 building was delivered on time and budget, and Polaris Forge 2 has a 200 MW lease signed. Yet the stock fell from $41 to $27 while nothing broke. x.comÂ
Galaxy Digital and Core Scientific should outperform Applied Digital over the next five years; buying Applied Digital now because it has surged looks foolish. A year ago it was a near-bankrupt bitcoin miner; it has since signed 900MW of colocation deals, a levered, lower-quality business rallying on an industry trend, like Intel versus Nvidia. Galaxy's profitable digital-assets arm and Core Scientific's earlier deals meant no bankruptcy risk was priced in, so they lagged. This could be wrong. … Show more
Applied Digital is seeing relentless AI demand, now locked in by a massive 15-year take-or-pay lease for 210 MW. The lease adds roughly $5.2 billion of contracted revenue, bringing its total contracted portfolio to 1.4 GW and $36 billion. x.com x.comÂ
Contracted AI compute demand makes four AI infrastructure stocks worth buying at 52-week lows. Applied Digital has a $36B backlog and expects 600+ MW online within 12 months; Cipher Mining has $8.5B+ in AI leases with payments ramping; CleanSpark has a 20-year $6.6B lease and 1.8+ GW power portfolio; CoreWeave has a $104B backlog and raised its year-end ARR target to $18.5-19.5B. x.com x.comÂ
Applied Digital's contracted AI data-center backlog should bring a dramatic shift in cash inflows as campuses come online through 2027 and beyond. Fiscal Q4 2026 revenue rose 407% to $258.7 million. Leases of 210 MW at Delta Forge 2 and 300 MW at Delta Forge 1 bring contracted load to 1.4 GW, about $36 billion of 15-year take-or-pay revenue, funded by over $3.7 billion of senior secured notes. After a trendline breakout, a retest should precede a major move toward the mid-30s. x.comÂ
Applied Digital still looks cheap on its buildout, though it needs momentum and cooperative bond markets. Its CY26 deliveries may miss expectations by ~50MW, with a catch-up in early 2027; it plans 600MW in service over 12 months. Two expansion leases totaling 250MW are expected by year end at >15% higher pricing, later than first signaled. Macquarie is owed shares and ~25% of NOI on partnered North American deals; Finland's first 100MW is expected in 2028. x.comÂ