Nike, like other apparel makers, is uninvestable because a durable moat is near impossible in this business. Consumer preferences keep changing, requiring constant new marketing to keep people excited, and making a physical product leaves an inherently low-margin business with little long-term pricing power. A major turnaround is possible, but the business model gives no confidence in its long-term strength. x.com 

Nike's fall from $179 to $44 looks structural, so not every pullback is a buying opportunity. Nike lost its cool and its retail partners, and now competes with brands that move faster. It needs a real turnaround plan before it is worth touching. x.com 

Nike's brand concerns look priced in; stabilization, not sudden revenue acceleration, is what the speculative long needs. A few good campaigns and a return to large stores could help, though China consumers will be a drag. Short-term EPS is a poor indicator, and customers may return after trying other brands. x.com  x.com 

Nike might not bottom until it cuts or eliminates its dividend, since net income is down 75% over five years and it cannot afford the payout. This could be one of the hardest turnarounds ever: it is getting clobbered on all fronts, China won't be coming back soon, products need a serious makeover and it overpays too many pro athletes. It needs to preserve cash, bring in new people and ideas, and find a way to bring excitement back to the brand. x.com  x.com 

Nike is a brand that lost discipline and vision and is now paying for it, with another bad year guided. Revenue fell 4%, with China down 26% and Europe 5%, and Nike expects 2027 revenue to drop another 7-9% with profit falling more. After flooding the market with Jordans and lifestyle sneakers, it is cutting supply to restore scarcity and pricing power and cutting $2.5B of costs by 2031, short-term pain in hope of long-term brand health. x.com 

Nike is one successful marketing campaign away from a full turnaround. Per @TheLongInvest, it is among the most hated stocks, deep below its 200-month moving average at a 12-year low, with insiders including Tim Cook buying, a 4% dividend and one of the world's strongest brands. x.com 

Nike's latest report confirms a structural unwinding, not a temporary dip, despite the EPS beat. The $0.48 versus $0.44 beat came from expense cuts, a lower tax rate and a lowered bar, while revenue missed and management warned of a high-single-digit full-year sales decline. NIKE Direct fell 8%, digital 13% and owned stores 5%, Greater China plunged 22%, and consumers are fleeing to On, Hoka and Adidas. Cost cuts can't restore cultural heat, and earnings power looks halved. x.com 

Nike's turnaround is going to take longer than expected, so its earnings no longer anchor the valuation. It may be time to value Nike as a sum of its brands rather than on EPS; at some point that collection will become underpriced, much as Tapestry did during Covid. x.com 

Nike's push to reposition as a premium sports brand looks like the right route to recovery, including in Greater China. New CFO Dave Denton was clearer, and Alex Arnault's board seat, Jordan's return to scarcity, elite athlete deals and less discounting support it. EPS was fairly strong and margins are improving; guidance looks set deliberately low to beat, since management says the decline largely stems from its own choices. The dividend is safe; a full turnaround may take 3-5 years. x.com  … Show more

Nike's fundamentals have not yet followed, and insider buying by CEO Elliott Hill and board member Tim Cook did not fix the business. Q1 revenue fell about 4% to $11.2B, with China down 26%, Nike Sportswear down low double digits and Jordan down mid-teens. Management warned China could get worse and some turnaround pain could extend into fiscal 2028. Performance grew high single digits, running double digits and North America returned to growth, so Nike is not being written off. x.com