US government backing and China's roughly 90% control of the global heavy-metals and rare-earth market make USA Rare Earth an easy hold. Its projected 2030 revenue is $2.6 billion, and most stocks in the basket trade at 20-30x sales. It is especially an easy hold near the log 0.786 Fibonacci level, with weekly RSI at 30. x.com 

US rare-earth and critical-mineral stocks could benefit from up to $1.6B of US investment in a domestic supply chain, even as heavy rare-earth stocks crash. USA Rare Earth is building a US mine-to-magnet chain including dysprosium and terbium; MP Materials is expanding into heavy rare-earth separation, alloys and magnets; Energy Fuels is expanding US separation; Critical Metals is developing Greenland's Tanbreez; NioCorp and American Resources are building US critical-mineral projects. x.com  … Show more

MP Materials risks repeating Molycorp's boom-and-bust history, since the deposit has been a financial disaster since its discovery, and this time may not be different. @JonahLupton argues rare earth demand could double or triple, with MP earning $1 billion-plus of EBIT by 2030, and that Molycorp's failure came over a decade ago under different management. x.com  x.com 

MP Materials is the preferred rare earth name because it is more mature and has held up well technically through ups and downs. It needs to break above $65 to get the desired move. The whole rare earth theme is in a pullback and consolidation phase, but momentum should eventually return, and when these stocks clear their shared resistance lines, it pays to be positioned. x.com 

MP Materials looks like a no-brainer at current prices because the US has no choice but to back domestic rare earth suppliers. Rare earth demand should at least double in five years, and China could cut off supply at any time, making MP a national-security hedge with a big government stake. About $1.15B of 2030 EBIT at 30x implies roughly $200 a share. With customers in chips, robotics, drones and defense, MP deserves a premium to Freeport and BHP, and it is 2+ years ahead of USA Rare Earth. … Show more

Aeluma, USA Rare Earth and MP Materials have the same government-backed setup that drove Intel up 600% after the US took a 10% stake, giving each 7–10x potential. Aeluma signed a letter of intent for CHIPS Act money in exchange for a government equity stake. Commerce is backing pre-revenue USA Rare Earth with $1.6B for up to 16% as it builds America's only heavy rare earth mine-to-magnet chain. The Pentagon owns 15% of MP Materials, the only fully integrated US rare earth producer. x.com  x.com 

MP Materials and USA Rare Earth are pulled forward by government backing and pushed by mega-cap support, setting them up to be 2026's second-biggest missed opportunity after Intel. x.com 

Rare earth and critical mineral names MP Materials, Energy Fuels, Critical Metals and United States Antimony have pulled back into a good buying zone after a big run, as attention shifts toward physical AI and robots. The Trump sons just invested in a tungsten company, and SemiAnalysis is flagging how important rare earths will be over the next few years. They remain weak short term. MP is the safest, with a government investment and its role as Apple's largest rare earths supplier. x.com 

5N Plus offers legitimate photonics materials exposure through its high-purity indium antimonide, a material at the intersection of photonics and sensing. Fundamentals are strong, with 73% EBITDA growth, 353 days of backlog, expanding margins and government-backed catalysts ahead. @aleabitoreddit calls it the Western counterpart to AXT and one of the most important companies in Western supply chains. The next earnings report is May 5, 2026. x.com 

Rare earth magnets, not chips, are the chokepoint of physical AI, and their supply chain runs through China. Every robot, drone and EV motor needs NdFeB magnets; China controls over 90% of refined supply and about 92% of separated NdPr, and nearly monopolizes the heavy rare earths that let magnets survive motor heat. Western producers like MP Materials, USA Rare Earth and Lynas address that gap. Most names are 2028+ stories with execution, dilution and Chinese price-suppression risk. x.com  x.com  … Show more