Eli Lilly's Omvoh could gain more prescriptions if approved for children. Half of pediatric patients who initially responded were in remission at one year, and Lilly plans to seek pediatric approval. x.comÂ
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Eli Lilly should see further positive revenue revisions as it expands the weight-loss market by reducing gastrointestinal side effects and lowering treatment costs. Strong demand for Mounjaro and Zepbound drove a second FY2026 revenue guidance raise in three months, to $91B-$92B from $85B-$87B. Lilly Direct and the Medicare Bridge program for seniors aim to make treatment cheaper. At 29x 2027 earnings against 15% revenue and 20% EPS growth projected for 2027-30, Lilly still looks cheap. x.comÂ
Eli Lilly's retatrutide should accelerate adoption because it raises calorie burn rather than merely suppressing appetite, a bigger leap than the previous generational change. Visible results could turn users into walking advertisements and create peer pressure. Lilly will probably become at least a $5 trillion company in the coming years, roughly 5x with a near-straight-line climb, on a projection of as many as a billion users. x.comÂ
Eli Lilly's oral GLP-1 pill Foundayo is an absolute disaster, and the stock cannot keep pretending otherwise. Per @investseekers, it logged 5,167 prescriptions in its 10th week after launch, versus 71,988 for Novo Nordisk's oral Wegovy in its comparable week. Over the long term people will prefer pills to injections, so retatrutide does not make the pill irrelevant. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Eli Lilly's Foundayo demand looks stronger than its Q3 sales miss implies. The miss looks like timing and inventory, not weak demand: the pill now has about 40% of new US oral GLP-1 prescriptions, roughly double last quarter. Lilly has 63% of the US GLP-1 market; new overseas pill launches could add another leg next quarter. Foundayo could eventually outsell both Mounjaro and Zepbound. GLP-1 revenue funds Lilly's AI drug-discovery ambitions. x.comÂ
Eli Lilly's broader biology opportunity leaves far more upside than most appreciate. Q3 earnings crushed estimates as expected: revenue was $24.4B versus $22.6B expected, and adjusted EPS was $7.48 versus $6.50. GLP-1s fund its longer-term drug-discovery platform rather than defining the whole thesis. x.comÂ
Eli Lilly is too expensive a stock to be interesting, and its oral pill Foundayo is not serious competition for Novo Nordisk's oral Wegovy. A post the author quotes calls the launch a disaster: Lilly still hasn't given prescription figures three weeks in, as Novo did in January, and 35% of volume coming from telehealth suggests Lilly Direct is not performing well. x.comÂ
Retatrutide could give Eli Lilly cancer benefits beyond weight loss. A 47% reduction in breast cancer relapse adds to earlier mouse findings of fewer pancreatic cancers and lung tumors. Those mouse findings have not been tested in humans. x.com x.comÂ
Eli Lilly can reinvest its GLP-1 cash flow into biological intelligence, building on the growth of its metabolic drugs. AI agent swarms working on scientific problems underpin the view that Lilly is becoming the world's most important AI company and could be the largest US company by decade's end. 2027 will be a year of cures and AI-driven scientific breakthroughs. x.comÂ
Eli Lilly cannot keep charging 2-4x the price of Novo Nordisk's older weight-loss drugs if Novo aggressively defends market share on price, because Lilly's drugs are only marginally more effective. That makes HSBC's view that weight-loss drug expectations are overinflated look obviously correct. x.comÂ
GLP-1 drugs are a secular shift in healthcare spending, and Eli Lilly is leading it. Q1 revenue rose 56% to $19.8B, with Mounjaro up 125% to $8.66B and Zepbound up 80% to $4.16B, and full-year guidance was raised to $82-85B. GLP-1 patients are expected to grow from 20 million to 30 million globally by year-end, and FDA approval of the oral GLP-1 orforglipron expands the addressable market further. x.comÂ