Intel is being bought on the dip by institutions loading up, and could reach all-time highs soon. x.comÂ
The Wheelie Investor
Options Trader, Agentic Trading, Builder of AgenticTG
Intel's fading options activity at $70 and $80, alongside a strong $100 node, improves its near-term setup. The stock bounced at its 200-day average alongside SMH and SOXX, supporting a $98-100 target this week; $110 calls are further out and $130 calls are for November-December. Dealers seem to have moved their hedges, though $80 may still come after October 30 earnings. The share target remains $140. x.com x.comÂ
Intel's CEO just bought $10M of stock at $95, a whale worth following. x.comÂ
Intel could fall sharply, even limit down, at the open despite blowing through its numbers with a big beat and guide. The risk is sentiment, not fundamentals: Jim Cramer's "Intel's the one" excites traders who exit on the first downtick. x.com x.comÂ
Intel's chart points to a pending breakout, with its stochastic about as low as it can get and a clean test of the key support-resistance flip inside a pennant or flag pattern. Heavy call flow today, all calls in the last 20 minutes, is a good sign after Friday. x.com x.comÂ
Intel shows clear, continued institutional buying that points to further gains. After earnings it gapped to highs not seen in nearly 30 years on its largest daily dollar buy volume ever, then set new records for buy volume last week and again this week. Following that smart money, another 15% move would be no surprise. x.comÂ
The bounce in semiconductors, including AMD, Micron and Intel, looks like a retail trap and exit liquidity rather than a durable move. The AI and semiconductor bull cycle is still in play, but a redistribution back down to weekly fair value looks next, after which big money should buy again. This is not a call to short. x.com x.comÂ
Intel's $95 level should act as a floor after its capital raise drew heavy institutional demand. It raised about $15-20B around $95 a share with reported demand above $100B, so serious buying should reappear if the stock returns there. Intel has nearly tripled this year and sentiment has changed, but no scheduled catalyst over the next three weeks looks likely to push it another 15-20%, short of a surprise such as a major new foundry customer. x.com x.comÂ
Intel's momentum is rebuilding after holding the key $81-$85 support zone, with whale accumulation now at 73.2%. A trend-reversal candle and an unfolding ribbon signalled the turn, and the momentum bars at $92, $96 and $100 each acted as reliable buy signals once surpassed. The momentum bars at $123, $132 and $142 should act as near-term and mid-term resistance. x.comÂ
Intel's rally is gamma-squeeze and momentum froth, not fundamentals, with its market cap jumping from $200 billion to $500 billion in a month without much change in the business. EPS won't even reach $1-1.5 this year, after $0.29 in Q1 and $0.20 guided for Q2, so it looks overvalued. It may take 18 months for the froth to fade and the stock to trade at reality. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Intel has potential for a move higher as a likely sympathy play on Nvidia's earnings, backed by heavy buying and call flow. It posted its first daily closes above the 50-day average since early July, an EMA crossover is possible, and huge buy volume shows on the weekly chart. A full reclaim of the weekly 9 average would confirm the springboard setup; the call may be early. x.com x.comÂ