VenkatP
Physician, Growth & Value Stock Investor
Amprius Technologies is a game-changing pick because it leads lithium batteries with no one close, and its batteries let drones fly twice as long, a major military advantage. Trump just made a massive drone deal. eVTOL aircraft also run on batteries, and Amazon's goal of global drone delivery by 2028 could mean orders for millions of batteries. Revenue is growing fast, though not yet profit, and the stock still has attention without being well known. x.com x.com
Amprius Technologies could become a drone-era bottleneck play, the way AI created bottlenecks elsewhere, after the recent government drone news. It makes next-generation silicon-carbon batteries, its largest customer is the Department of War, and it has already supplied many batteries to Ukraine. With abundant liquidity in stocks, the move could have legs, though this is a low-conviction call. x.com
Amprius looks expensive and its chart looks more like a short than a long. At just under 18x forward sales on current shares and about 22x fully diluted, versus a 12x fair value for high-growth companies, it is pricey even on a $135 million 2026 revenue estimate above guidance, with a 33 million-share overhang. After earnings it broke its 9, 21 and 50-day averages and was rejected at the falling 21-day, making it a near-term short on rallies, though the quarter itself was good. x.com x.com
Amprius Technologies' 27% post-earnings drop is an overreaction to a 2-cent EPS miss, and a quick turnaround looks likely. Revenue hit a record $28.5M, up 153% and 11% above estimates; gross profit rose 343%, the net loss narrowed 46% and gross margin reached 20%, or 22% excluding one-time Colorado costs. Full-year 2026 guidance was raised to at least $130M. Its NDAA-compliant silicon-anode batteries, with twice lithium-ion's energy density, supply Pentagon drone programs. x.com
Amprius could trade above $30 within 6-12 months after raising 2026 revenue guidance to at least $140M, provided the broader market holds up. It reiterated a net loss under $10M, is improving GAAP gross margin, has new orders and has a clean balance sheet. x.com x.com
Jan Zuazo Pfingsten
Thematic Investor, Physical Scarcity & AI Infrastructure, Primary-Source Research
Amprius has solved its real bottleneck, scale manufacturing: its new 500 Wh/kg SiCore cell for long-endurance aviation can be made on conventional lithium-ion equipment. Earlier 500 Wh/kg cells needed special processes and never reached volume, and Wall Street doubted execution, not technology or demand. Now its asset-light contract manufacturers can make it. Airbus subsidiary AALTO has used Amprius cells since 2018 in the Zephyr, which set a 67-day stratospheric flight record in 2025. x.com
Amprius remains a long-term bullish holding despite short-term noise: Q1 revenue was strong and the FY26 revenue outlook was raised. The stock's drop likely reflects an EPS miss plus a sell-the-news reaction after its recent run, since in names like this expectations matter as much as results. x.com
Drone stocks look obvious winners for the next few years as one of the earliest clear beneficiaries of the robotics revolution. Ondas and AVEX are the preferred exposures, and AeroVironment is also a great pick whose pullback looks overdone relative to its fundamental story. x.com
Unusual Machines is overdue for a news-driven rerating, as its edge-AI small drone project, reportedly a Trump favorite, trades at just 2x sales. The cards look heavily stacked toward that project being seen as a success and ultimately bigger than expected, and Trump-favored trades such as Dell and Intel are drawing interest. x.com
Amprius still has room to run, as forecasts of about $670 million in FY29 revenue mean a roughly $3 billion company today can grow into a larger value. At 20 times sales it is getting pricey, but expected growth of about 70–80% a year makes that multiple still reasonable. Much of the easy money has been made, though: it is a stock to hold in a bull market but to exit quickly if conditions turn bearish. x.com