AllllSevens
Stock-Market Research, Institutional Trading & Market Inefficiencies
Uber looks set to reverse higher as large bullish options flow arrives just off a new monthly low. An $80 million in-the-money call block expiring June 5 comes amid massive put writing across the consumer discretionary and industrials sectors. The stock is coming off a textbook inefficient sell on the weekly chart and shows clear daily accumulation patterns. x.comÂ
Uber's large, successful network and marketplace give it a moat. The stock is in stage 4, but its fundamentals still appeal. x.comÂ
The market is sleeping on Uber, and the CEO's purchase of $10M of stock with his own money backs that view. The buy comes as shares retest their breakout from a massive descending wedge after weeks of bullish RSI divergence. If bulls defend this area into the weekend, the target is $167. x.comÂ
Uber's valuation is out of balance with its fundamental trajectory over the medium term, and the long-term thesis is less convincing than it once was. It became a cash-flow machine sooner than expected, but the past couple of years have been a grind. It is a hold now and a sell if it reaches the top of its technical channel around $100. x.com x.comÂ
Uber's rising operating margins make the market's apparent dismissal of it look misplaced. Its trailing operating margin climbed from -13% in March 2022 to 12% in June 2026, continuing the earlier case that improving profitability is underappreciated. x.comÂ
Uber looks cheap, and insiders who know the company best are buying, a point @SteurJonas69716 raises. The stock is a solid buy as long as robotaxis do not kill the business, which is doubtful. x.com x.comÂ
Uber has big long-term secular problems, enough to make even CEO Dara Khosrowshahi's $10M token insider buy a moment to consider shorting, though actually shorting is not recommended. Beyond the Waymo and robotaxi threat, an AI agent that constantly checks every app for the best price would hurt Uber, consistently the highest-priced ride service. Uber would need to lower prices, and it lacks the tech stack. x.com x.comÂ
Uber's options positioning looks calm and supportive in the short term as long as it holds above the $76.03 gamma flip and the $75 put wall. The $80 call wall could open around the September 18 options expiration, with a stretch to $87 by October 2 if $80 holds. A daily close under $75 would break the setup. x.comÂ
Uber's CEO buying $10M of stock, days after its president bought over $5M, is a meaningful vote of confidence: wealthy people do not set $15M on fire for fun, and insiders buy for one reason. That matters amid the debate over Uber's position as autonomous vehicles arrive. Buying works as long as there is no autonomous-vehicle duopoly, which looks very unlikely. x.com x.comÂ
Consumer discretionary and staples stocks such as Uber, Netflix, Nike and Lululemon may see massive downside into November as pension funds sell them to buy the OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs. The AI bankers driving those deals also help manage the pensions, so as the selling and repositioning play out, the wind-down could get bad. x.comÂ
Uber was the clearest consensus buy among top investors last quarter, and its valuation still looks interesting at about 23 times forward earnings with a PEG below 1. Bill Ackman raised his stake 15%, David Tepper 22% and Pat Dorsey 61%, while Terry Smith opened a new position, four very different investors arriving at the same place. x.comÂ
