Silver's bearish signal is the huge number of likes on Rashad Hajiyev's $200 call, pointing instead to $20 over the next three years. The final low is due in late 2029 to early 2030 under the dominant seven-year cycle, whose lows came in 2001, 2008, 2015 and 2022; the 2020 Covid low was an anomaly, not a four-year cycle. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Silver is setting up for a violent dump, nearer the end of its run than the beginning. After a 140%+ rise in 2026, with gold moving first and "silver is still cheap" everywhere, the setup echoes 2011, when silver ran from $18 to $49 and collapsed once leverage peaked and liquidity vanished. Real deficits and industrial demand attract more leverage rather than prevent a crash. In a thin, derivatives-driven market, crowded positioning can cascade into forced selling, though it may rise first. … Show more

Silver could surprise to the upside after losing over 50% of its value, precisely because everyone now agrees it will go lower. x.com 

Silver's earlier mass euphoria could give way to comparable pain, leaving it attractive only at $25-$35. A correction of 75% or more has historically been normal; reaching that range may take time, and it may never happen. x.com 

Silver's 30% rally off its lows was likely the bulk of the move in this 20-week cycle, and metals should weaken as the dollar index rallies off its 80-day cycle low toward 100. Silver hit the $72 target and fell 6.8% in three hours. Cycles point to a 40-day low in early September, a bounce, then a 20-week low around October, with $48-49 the ideal fall target. September is the seasonal peak and October to mid-November is typically bearish; if the dollar regains 100, metals will struggle. x.com  … Show more

Silver's supply shortfall should ultimately help drive its price higher. A commenter cites a projected 46.3 million-ounce deficit in 2026, the sixth consecutive annual shortfall. Supply should remain tight in coming months, though negative trading and fear of further losses are driving investors to sell for now. x.com  x.com 

Silver will dump along with gold, stocks, bonds and bitcoin when markets open Monday, as macro stresses hit all at once. The Fed just confirmed rate hikes are back on the table, Iran violated the ceasefire as the US reportedly struck it (per Kalshi), Japan and China are cutting Treasury exposure, and the AI bubble is starting to collapse. Monday could be the worst day of 2026. In the worst case, oil goes parabolic, yields spike and liquidity vanishes. x.com 

Capital is rotating out of crude oil, gold and silver into equities, with crypto to follow, giving the bull market fresh legs. All three commodities look exhausted after their melt-up, though their longer-term debasement, deficit and industrial-demand stories remain intact. Lower energy and commodity prices mean better margins and less inflation pressure. US large caps and the Nasdaq-100 show no signs of topping as AI earnings lift the S&P 500, and bitcoin is likely bottoming in the mid-$60Ks. … Show more

The earlier FX-reserve drain suggests silver is likely to stay trapped until the Fed capitulates if austerity does not arrive. In 1972-74, the correction was 44%, followed by an 18-month trap. A long position after quarters without one remains tentative; austerity would mean exiting or reversing. x.com 

Silver has failed as a monetary asset, so it should be priced at its utility value, and it is still overpriced. It fell from $120 to $56 and may not make another all-time high for 15 years, even though nobody talks about it now. Silver is not the next store of value; Bitcoin is superior in every way, with a much larger TAM. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com