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Namzes Cycles

Hurst Cycle & Technical Analyst, Commodities/Crypto/Equity Indices, Risk Management Background

28 Aug, 17:20Latest

Silver's 30% rally off its lows was likely the bulk of the move in this 20-week cycle, and metals should weaken as the dollar index rallies off its 80-day cycle low toward 100. Silver hit the $72 target and fell 6.8% in three hours. Cycles point to a 40-day low in early September, a bounce, then a 20-week low around October, with $48-49 the ideal fall target. September is the seasonal peak and October to mid-November is typically bearish; if the dollar regains 100, metals will struggle. x.com x.com

SLV

29 Jun, 04:36

Silver is in an intermediate downtrend whose likely final destination is a retest of the 48-49 prior all-time high. A 40-week cycle low is due now and July seasonality turns positive, but with dollar strength and a potential dollar breakout, any metals rally could be a short-lived counter-rally, with new lows around October at the next 20-week cycle low. Hourly basing needs acceptance above 59 to retrace toward 63 and about 70. A dollar pullback would be constructive for metals. x.com x.com x.com

SLV

CyclesFan

Market Cycle Analysis

25 Oct

SLV

Silver's bearish signal is the huge number of likes on Rashad Hajiyev's $200 call, pointing instead to $20 over the next three years. The final low is due in late 2029 to early 2030 under the dominant seven-year cycle, whose lows came in 2001, 2008, 2015 and 2022; the 2020 Covid low was an anomaly, not a four-year cycle. x.com x.com x.com

Matthew Hyland

Co-Founder & CEO of ALTvsBTC

14 Oct

SLV

Silver's earlier mass euphoria could give way to comparable pain, leaving it attractive only at $25-$35. A correction of 75% or more has historically been normal; reaching that range may take time, and it may never happen. x.com

David Hunter

Chief Macro Strategist at Contrarian Macro Advisors

23h ago

SLV

Silver's supply shortfall should ultimately help drive its price higher. A commenter cites a projected 46.3 million-ounce deficit in 2026, the sixth consecutive annual shortfall. Supply should remain tight in coming months, though negative trading and fear of further losses are driving investors to sell for now. x.com x.com

DANNY

Crypto Commentary

24 Oct

GLD

SLV

Rising oil worsens inflation and puts Fed rate hikes back in focus, making non-yielding gold and silver less attractive. Investors are also selling metals to meet margin calls. An estimated $1.83 trillion in combined value was wiped out over recent sessions; both metals remain under pressure as long as oil keeps rising and rate-hike expectations stay high. x.com

Francis Hunt

Trading Education, Hunt Volatility Funnel & Capital Preservation

10 Jun

SLV

Silver's predicted third sell-off is well advanced, and an AI-induced bust could drag it lower first, though there is a small chance it is near its last local low. Longer term, the falling wedge will likely resolve as an upside continuation pattern. @DonDurrett expects sub-$60 silver and sub-$4,000 gold as Chinese appetite fades, with the correction likely not over. x.com x.com

Francis Hunt

Trading Education, Hunt Volatility Funnel & Capital Preservation

27 Oct

GLD

SLV

Gold and silver may benefit if yields ease a little further from their local high for a while longer. The FOMC meeting and minutes could be good for both. x.com

CyclesFan

Market Cycle Analysis

26 Sep

GLD

Gold's leading scenario is a retest of its June low in Q4 after it closed below its 50-day moving average. A break below 4,235, the last short-term low, would confirm that path, and only a rally above 4,510, the last short-term high, would invalidate it. A stronger dollar and rising interest rates are both weighing on gold. x.com x.com x.com

Zenolytics

Founder of Zenolytics, Portfolio Manager at T11 Capital

7 Oct

GLD

Gold now points toward a downside target, following the late-August exit signal laid out in the August 30 edition of Turning Points. x.com

Feroce Research

Thematic Research, Technical/Macro/Fundamental Analysis & Quantitative Positioning

17 Sep

GLD

SLV

Gold and silver are setting up for a metals mania, with the bottom already put in back in July. Gold shows a bullish divergence and an engulfing candle poking into a real breakout, and markets will soon see a 25bps dovish hike as no different from holding rates. Silver has an inverse head-and-shoulders attempting a fresh breakout and is about to outpace the dollar for the first time since last year; the last such rotation saw silver surge 190%. The bear case is $80/oz. x.com x.com

Zynx

Bitcoin Treasury Analyst, Strategic Adviser to Falconedge

17 Jul

SLV

Silver has failed as a monetary asset, so it should be priced at its utility value, and it is still overpriced. It fell from $120 to $56 and may not make another all-time high for 15 years, even though nobody talks about it now. Silver is not the next store of value; Bitcoin is superior in every way, with a much larger TAM. x.com x.com x.com x.com

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