Temple 8 Research
AI Buildout, Macro & Energy Infrastructure Research
Copper's rally is driven mainly by financial players rather than physical demand, making it unsustainable in the short term. Inventories keep rising against the shortage narrative, commercial hedgers are near multi-year shorts while CTAs hold multi-year highs, and China's credit impulse is deteriorating. The cycle and seasonality point to a peak in late August or early September, and a weekly rising wedge signals exhaustion. The long-term picture stays bullish after a reset into Q4 or Q1 2027. … Show more
Copper miners should catch up to copper once oil comes down and logistics chains reopen. Supply pressure plus AI demand have created a perfect storm that pushed copper to new all-time highs. The pattern target is 115, with 92 as the breakout line. x.comÂ
Copper could see extreme demand from the AI buildout over the next few years, enough that $8,000 may end up being the Wave 5 target zone. x.comÂ
Copper miners look attractive because copper could quickly double and become a true AI supply-chain bottleneck, though the trade is fairly consensus. Per a quoted thread on S&P Global data, tier-1 discoveries fell from 714.8Mt in the 1990s to 8.7Mt over 2020-2025 despite exploration spending above $3 billion a year. A mix of explorers and producers works best: Hudbay and Taseko for US assets, Ero as cheap, Solaris as built for a sale, plus Glencore, Teck, Southern Copper and Freeport. x.com … Show more
Copper miners have a long-term supply case because major copper discoveries have dried up. The world will face a very large copper imbalance as the years pass. x.comÂ
Record copper import premiums signal imminent supply shortages. @robert_ivanhoe reports that the Yangshan premium broke its record, indicating scarce near-term supply in China. An Ivan Bebek chart using International Copper Study Group data shows preliminary global mine output down 1% year on year in January-July 2026, after eight straight years of growth. x.com x.comÂ
Copper is not a bullish play, as it is arguably used more as a transitional tool over the next two years. That holds even though NVIDIA's CEO said they will need more copper, alongside optics and CPO. x.comÂ
Copper miners stand to benefit as US Section 232 copper tariffs, due to be finalized by June 30, weaponize the raw materials AI hardware needs. Goldman Sachs warns new tariffs will likely trigger large-scale hoarding by US buyers, and COMEX copper stocks have already passed a record 650,000 tons. The crunch is spreading to tungsten, tin, tantalum and indium; that cost-push inflation hurts AI hardware margins but is structurally very bullish for copper-rich miners. x.comÂ
Copper shorts are making a risky bet as Shanghai and London report record-low copper inventories. Guided by the White House, shorts are piling in on the view that inventories will be allowed to run to zero before anyone buys. x.com x.comÂ
Copper miners stand to benefit from a massive undersupply of copper right now, making the copper miners ETF a candidate for selling puts. x.comÂ